FNUS72 KMFL 141149
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR RACCOON POINT BURN...NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
749 AM EDT MON MAY 14 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EDT ON MAY 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER CENTRAL FLORIDA WILL ALLOW FOR A LIGHT
EASTERLY WIND FLOW OVER THE SPOT AREA. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL BE VARIABLE
WITH STRONG WIND GUSTS POSSIBLE IN AND NEAR THE STORMS WHICH
DEVELOP. THE ACTIVITY WILL DISSIPATE EARLY THIS EVENING WITH
TRANQUIL WEATHER OVERNIGHT. NO WIDESPREAD FOG IS EXPECTED
TONIGHT, THOUGH PATCHY GROUND FOG CANNOT BE RULE OUT.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS. PATCHY FOG EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING. SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 91.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 44 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1100...THEN 2 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500-5000 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 8 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....12 INCREASING TO 25 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........70     70     70     70     70     70
WEATHER COV.....PATCHY PATCHY S CHC  SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD
WEATHER TYPE....FOG    FOG    RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........              S CHC  SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD
TEMP............69     82     87     91     90     88
RH..............93     61     52     44     46     48
20 FT WIND......E 3    E 3    E 4    E 4    E 4    E 4
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      5      10     10     5
MIX HGT (FT)....2500   2500   4500   5000   5000   4500
MIXNG WIND......E 6    E 6    E 8    E 8    E 8    E 8
DISPERSION IDX..12     12     24     25     25     24
LVORI...........3      3      2      2      2      2
CHC OF PCPN (%).40     40     40     40     40     40
LAL.............1      1      2      3      3      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 66.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 95 PERCENT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 0200...THEN 1.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND EARLY MORNING...THEN
                    BECOMING LIGHT EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....4.
LVORI...............5.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 91.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 45 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1100...THEN 3.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500-5000 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 2 TO 5 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....13 INCREASING TO 20 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...GREGORIA
REQUESTED BY...JUSTIN TURNBO
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120514.RACCO.01/MFL