FNUS76 KMFR 140514
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR EAST MCCLOUD TS UNDERBURN...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1014 PM PDT SUN MAY 13 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 PDT ON MAY 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 11 PM PDT MONDAY...

.DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LOW WILL MOVE INLAND INTO NORTHERN
CALIFORNIA TODAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN INCREASING INSTABILITY
WITH ISOLATED BUILD-UPS CAN BE EXPECTED EARLY IN THE MORNING.
FOLLOWED BY ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP
FROM LATE MORNING THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING. KEEP IN MIND THAT
ANY THUNDERSTORMS NEAR OR OVER THE BURN AREA COULD RESULT IN
ERRATIC WIND DIRECTION WHICH COULD BECOME GUSTY. THE UPPER LOW
WILL MOVE EAST OF THE BURN AREA LATE TONIGHT USHERING IN A MORE
STABLE AIR MASS. TUESDAY LOOKS DRY AT THIS TIME WITH COOLER
TEMPERATURES.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS BY LATE
                    MORNING...THEN SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-78.
MIN HUMIDITY........26-30 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 7 TO 12 MPH.
CWR.................25 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 IN THE MORNING. 3 IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-45.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-93 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 700 FT AGL THROUGH
                    THE NIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 11 TO 16 MPH.
CWR.................26 PERCENT.
LAL.................3 EARLY EVENING. 1 AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-86.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...PETRUCELLI
REQUESTED BY...STEVEN CLARK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120514.EASTM.01/MFR