FNUS76 KMFR 140555
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR MORTAR COYOTE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1055 PM PDT SUN MAY 13 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 PDT ON MAY 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LOW WILL MOVE INLAND INTO NORTHERN
CALIFORNIA TODAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN INCREASING INSTABILITY
WITH ISOLATED BUILD-UPS EXPECTED EARLY TO MID MORNING.
FOLLOWED BY ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS FROM LATE MORNING
THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING. KEEP IN MIND THAT ANY THUNDERSTORMS
NEAR OR OVER THE BURN AREA COULD RESULT IN ERRATIC WIND DIRECTION
WHICH COULD BECOME GUSTY. THE UPPER LOW WILL MOVE EAST OF THE BURN
AREA LATE TONIGHT USHERING IN A MORE STABLE AIR MASS. TUESDAY LOOKS
DRY AT THIS TIME WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS BY
                    EARLY AFTERNOON. STORMS COULD BECOME
                    SCATTERED BY LATE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-82.
MIN HUMIDITY........17-22 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....VARIABLE 0-2 MPH IN THE MORNING. NORTHWEST
                    2-4 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. HOWEVER WIND DIRECTION
                    COULD BECOME ERRATIC AND BECOMING GUSTY NEAR
                    AND UNDER THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL THROUGH MID MORNING...INCREASING
                    TO 4800 FT AGL LATE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    10000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 12 TO 18 MPH.
CWR.................12 PERCENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
                    SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-46.
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST 2-4 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    VARIABLE 0-2 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500  FT AGL
                    THROUGH THE NIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 8 TO 12 MPH.
CWR.................15 PERCENT.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-84.
MIN HUMIDITY........14-19 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....VARIABLE 0-2 MPH IN THE MORNING. NORTHWEST
                    2-4 MPH WITH A FEW GUST TO 7 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL EARLY MORNING...THEN INCREASING
                    TO 4500 FT AGL BY LATE MORNING. INCREASING
                    TO 10000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 10 TO 16 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...PETRUCELLI
REQUESTED BY...LELAND HUNTER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120514.MORTA.01/MFR