FNUS73 KMPX 141323 FWSMPX SPOT FORECAST FOR MINNESOTA FALLS 10 PB...MN DNR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 823 AM CDT MON MAY 14 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 CDT ON MAY 14. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED ACROSS THE MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WILL PRODUCE WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS THROUGH TONIGHT. THERE MAY BE SOME WIND GUSTS AROUND 14 TO 18 MPH THIS AFTERNOON. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP ACROSS SOUTHWEST CANADA...AND MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON...CLIPPING NORTHERN MINNESOTA. A COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP ACROSS THE REGION MID MORNING TUESDAY BUT THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO BE DRY. A WARM FRONT APPROACHES THE AREA ON THURSDAY BRINGING MORE UNSETTLED WEATHER WITH A BETTER CHANCE OF SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY THROUGH SUNDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. TEMPERATURE.........80 AT IGNITION...MAX 85. RH..................18 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 22 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS WEST AT 7 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE WEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH. HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH AT IGNITION...MAX 6. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (2600-38400) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (126200-136200). MIXING HEIGHT.......300-400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9300-11200 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........WEST 14 TO 16 MPH. TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P SKY (%).........CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............73 77 80 82 84 85 85 84 82 78 74 71 RH..............24 20 18 17 16 16 17 18 21 25 29 35 20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 6 7 8 9 10 10 9 9 8 8 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 15 15 15 15 20 20 15 15 15 15 HAINES INDEX....6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 55. RH..................MAX 71 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (121300) DECREASING TO POOR (900-2000). .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 77. RH..................MIN 23 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH. HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (2000-40100) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (83600) LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (139000-177900) EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO EXCELLENT (106600) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO GOOD (48100). MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4600 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 8000 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 11400 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 7700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 4000 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........WEST 10 TO 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 16 TO 21 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. $$ FORECASTER...HULTQUIST REQUESTED BY...BRAD BOLDUAN TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120514.MINNE.01/MPX SKY (%) LEGEND CLR = CLEAR MCR = MOSTLY CLEAR PC = PARTLY CLOUDY MC = MOSTLY CLOUDY CDY = CLOUDY