FNAK79 PAFG 151651
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR CREAMER S FIELD...AK-FAS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
851 AM AKDT TUE MAY 15 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 AKDT ON MAY 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
WEAK INSTABILITY WILL CAUSE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. A LOW PRESSURE TROUGH FROM FORT YUKON TO EAGLE TO
BEAVER CREEK WILL WEAKEN IN PLACE THROUGH WED AND CAUSE WEST WINDS.

HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT OVER THE WEST COAST OF ALASKA WILL BUILD
OVER THE CENTRAL INTERIOR WED AND THEN PERSIST INTO THE WEEKEND.
THIS WILL CAUSE A WARMING AND DRYING TREND WED THROUGH THE WEEKEND.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
ISOLATED SHOWERS IN THE MORNING AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.

MAX TEMPERATURE.....46 AT 11AM RISING TO MAX OF 55 AT 4PM.
MIN HUMIDITY........60% AT 11AM...FALLING TO 35 PERCENT AT 4PM.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST 3-5 MPH AT 11AM...BECOMING WEST 6 TO 8 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................16 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........MISSING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL RISING TO 7000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 14 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 32.
MAX HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
CWR.................12 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........MISSING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FT AGL FALLING TO 600 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
MIN HUMIDITY........24 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........MISSING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 5000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 MPH

$$
FORECASTER...BRADER
REQUESTED BY...GORDON AMUNDSON AFMO
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120515.CREAM.01/AFG