FNAK79 PAFG 141715
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR STUART CREEK...ALASKA FIRE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
915 AM AKDT MON MAY 14 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 AKDT ON MAY 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A LOW PRESSURE TROUGH WEST OF THE FIRE WILL MOVE OVER THE FIRE AREA
THIS AFTERNOON AND MOVE EAST OF THE FIRE THIS EVENING AND TO THE
ALCAN BORDER TUE. WEAK INSTABILITY WILL CAUSE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE AIR MASS WILL BECOME MORE MOIST
TONIGHT AND TUE.

.THIS AFTERNOON...

SKY/WEATHER.........INCREASING CLOUDS (50-60 PERCENT).
                    ISOLATED AFTERNOON SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
MIN HUMIDITY........23 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8 G13 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 12000 FT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). ISOLATED EVENING
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 29.
MAX HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT IN VALLEY...60% AT 1500 FT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH.
CWR.................12 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......12000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 MPH DECREASING TO 8 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). ISOLATED AFTERNOON SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....RISING TO 50 AT NOON AND TO 52 AT 3PM.
MIN HUMIDITY........70% IN THE MORNING FALLING TO 40% AT NOON
                    AND 31 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 MPH IN THE MORNING
                    INCREASING TO 10 MPH AT NOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). ISOLATED EVENING SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 28.
MAX HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 MPH.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
MIN HUMIDITY........25%
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 3 MPH BECOMING EAST 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 MPH

$$
FORECASTER...BRADER
REQUESTED BY...JAKE DOLLARD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120515.STUAR.01/AFG