FNAK79 PAFG 151718 FWSAFG SPOT FORECAST FOR STUART CREEK...BLM-AFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK 918 AM AKDT TUE MAY 15 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0835 AKDT ON MAY 15. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... WEAK INSTABILITY WILL CAUSE ISOLATED SHOWERS THIS MORNING AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A LOW PRESSURE TROUGH FROM FORT YUKON TO EAGLE TO BEAVER CREEK WILL WEAKEN IN PLACE THROUGH TONIGHT AND CAUSE WEST WINDS TODAY THAT WILL DIMINISH TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT OVER THE WEST COAST OF ALASKA WILL BUILD OVER THE CENTRAL INTERIOR WED AND THEN PERSIST INTO THE WEEKEND. THIS WILL CAUSE A WARMING AND DRYING TREND WED THROUGH THE WEEKEND. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS THIS MORNING. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....48 AT NOON AND 53 BY 4PM. MIN HUMIDITY........50% AT NOON AND 38 PERCENT BY 2PM. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8G14 MPH. CWR.................16 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 13 MPH. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 32. MAX HUMIDITY........80 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8G12 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT AFTER MIDNIGHT. CWR.................12 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......6500 FT AGL FALLING TO 500 AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58. MIN HUMIDITY........27 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........W 3-5 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING EAST 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 6000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 3 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...BRADER REQUESTED BY...JAKE DOLLARD TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120515.STUAR.02/AFG