FNUS75 KBOU 151727 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR HEWLETT...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 1108 AM MDT TUE MAY 15 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL BE OVER THE REGION THROUGH TONIGHT WITH A DRY AIRMASS REMAINING WITH NO STORMS EXPECTED. THERE WILL BE SLIGHTLY STRONGER SOUTHEAST WINDS THIS AFTERNOON WITH SLIGHTLY WARMER TEMPERATURES AND SIMILAR HUMIDITIES. THE HIGH PRESSURE AREA WILL SHIFT INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS ON WEDNESDAY AS A WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHES COLORADO LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. THIS WILL RESULT IN SLIGHTLY ELEVATED MOISTURE LEVELS AND WINDS WILL SHIFT AND INCREASE FROM THE SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST. THERE WILL ALSO BE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH THE THREAT OF STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS TO 35 MPH WITH THE WEAK SHOWERS. ALERT OUTLOOK FOR FRIDAY...INCREASING SOUTHWEST FLOFT WITH EXPECTED STRONGER SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST SURFACE WINDS OF 15 TO 30 MPH DURING FRIDAY AFTERNOON. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....74. MIN HUMIDITY........13%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 6-11 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......9400 FT AGL UNTIL 1200...THEN 12600-13600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1200...THEN FAIR. GOOD AFTER 1700. HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....47. MAX HUMIDITY........35%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 8-13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH UNTIL 0300...THEN NORTH 2-5 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......11600 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 0300. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS A FEW DRY AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....73. MIN HUMIDITY........17%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS 7-13 MPH. GUSTS TO 22 MPH AFTER 1200. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5-10 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 12400-13000 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR HEWLETT. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 05/15-11 1 0 0 68 15 SE 9 14 5 1 N 5 9325 SE 3 27647 P 05/15-12 12 2 0 70 14 SE10 16 5 1 N 3 12204 S 3 34381 P 05/15-13 12 2 0 71 14 SE12 20 5 1 N 6 12772 S 3 42786 F 05/15-14 12 2 0 72 13 SE14 22 6 1 W10 13341 S 5 51191 F 05/15-15 12 2 0 72 13 SE15 24 6 1 W14 13909 S 5 59596 F 05/15-16 12 2 0 72 13 SE16 25 6 1 W15 13147 S 7 76440 G 05/15-17 12 2 0 71 13 SE16 26 5 1 W14 12384 S 9 93284 G 05/15-18 23 2 0 70 14 SE16 25 5 1 W14 11621 S10 110128 V 05/15-19 23 2 0 67 16 SE16 25 5 1 W13 7911 S13 75481 G 05/15-20 23 2 0 63 21 SE15 23 5 1 SW12 4201 S14 40833 F 05/15-21 23 2 0 57 27 S14 22 5 1 SW10 491 S15 6186 P 05/15-22 23 2 0 53 33 S14 22 5 1 W10 400 S14 4823 P 05/15-23 23 2 0 50 38 S14 22 4 1 W 9 309 S13 3461 P 05/16-00 29 0 0 48 42 S13 21 4 1 W 9 217 S12 2098 P 05/16-01 29 0 0 46 45 S10 17 4 1 W 9 205 S 9 1631 P 05/16-02 29 0 0 46 44 S 8 13 5 1 W 9 192 SW 7 1164 P 05/16-03 29 0 0 46 45 S 6 6 5 1 W10 180 SW 5 697 P 05/16-04 29 0 0 45 45 SW 5 5 5 1 W12 165 SW 5 675 P 05/16-05 29 0 0 45 46 SW 5 5 5 1 W13 151 W 5 653 P 05/16-06 43 7 1 48 40 SW 5 5 5 1 W14 137 W 6 632 P 05/16-07 43 7 1 51 38 SW 5 5 5 1 W15 289 W 6 1512 P 05/16-08 43 7 1 55 33 W 6 6 5 1 W15 442 W 6 2393 P 05/16-09 43 7 1 60 28 W 6 6 5 1 W15 595 W 7 3273 P 05/16-10 43 7 1 64 23 SW 6 6 5 1 W14 4676 W 7 33365 P 05/16-11 43 7 1 67 19 SW 6 6 5 1 W12 8757 W 8 63457 G 05/16-12 61 25 5 69 17 S 6 6 5 3 W10 12839 W 8 93548 G 05/16-13 61 25 5 70 17 S 7 7 5 3 W 9 12899 W 8 91062 G 05/16-14 61 25 5 71 19 SW 9 15 4 3 W 9 12959 W 8 88576 G 05/16-15 61 25 5 71 21 SW10 16 4 3 W 9 13020 W 8 86090 G 05/16-16 61 25 5 71 21 SW 9 15 4 3 W 9 12691 W 9 95223 G 05/16-17 61 25 5 70 21 W 8 13 4 3 W 9 12363 W 9 104356 V 05/16-18 57 19 4 69 22 W 7 7 3 3 W16 10302 W 8 74502 G 05/16-19 57 19 4 67 24 W 7 7 3 3 W16 8298 W 8 60569 G 05/16-20 57 19 4 64 29 W 7 7 3 3 NW15 6294 NW 8 46635 F 05/16-21 57 6 1 61 33 W 8 13 3 1 NW15 4290 NW 9 32702 P 05/16-22 57 6 1 59 36 W 8 13 3 1 N15 3258 W10 26597 P 05/16-23 57 6 1 57 38 W 8 13 3 1 N14 2226 W13 20492 P 05/17-00 29 4 1 56 39 W 8 13 3 1 NE14 1194 W14 14386 P 05/17-01 29 4 1 55 42 W 9 14 3 1 NE14 918 W14 10896 P 05/17-02 29 4 1 53 44 W10 16 3 1 NE13 642 W13 7406 P 05/17-03 29 4 1 52 45 W12 18 3 1 NE13 367 W13 3916 P 05/17-04 29 4 1 52 46 W13 21 3 1 NE12 338 W14 3846 P 05/17-05 29 4 1 51 46 W15 24 3 1 E10 309 W14 3777 P 05/17-06 28 4 1 51 46 W16 25 3 1 E10 281 W15 3708 P 05/17-07 28 4 1 53 40 W17 28 3 1 NE10 1587 W14 16499 P 05/17-08 28 4 1 57 33 W17 28 3 1 NE10 2894 W13 29291 P 05/17-09 28 4 1 61 27 W17 28 3 1 N10 4200 NW12 42083 F 05/17-10 28 4 1 65 23 W16 26 3 1 N10 7070 NW10 61915 G 05/17-11 28 4 1 69 20 NW15 24 3 1 N10 9940 NW10 81747 G 05/17-12 37 10 2 71 18 NW14 22 3 2 NW12 12810 NW 9 101579 V 05/17-13 37 10 2 73 17 NW13 20 3 2 NW13 13272 NW 9 109817 V 05/17-14 37 10 2 73 17 NW10 17 3 2 NW14 13734 NW10 118055 V 05/17-15 37 10 2 74 17 NW 9 15 3 2 NW15 14196 NW10 126293 V 05/17-16 37 10 2 74 17 W 7 7 3 2 NW16 13657 W10 125323 V 05/17-17 37 10 2 73 17 SW 6 6 3 2 NW17 13118 W12 124353 V 05/17-18 38 6 1 73 18 SW 5 5 3 2 W18 12579 W12 123383 V 05/17-19 38 6 1 70 20 SW 5 5 3 2 W20 9887 W10 94389 G 05/17-20 38 6 1 67 23 SW 5 5 3 2 W20 7195 W10 65396 G 05/17-21 38 4 1 64 27 SW 5 5 3 1 W20 4503 SW 9 36403 P 05/17-22 38 4 1 61 30 SW 5 5 3 1 W20 3141 SW 8 25097 P 05/17-23 38 4 1 59 33 SW 6 6 3 1 W21 1780 SW 8 13791 P 05/18-00 17 4 1 57 35 SW 6 6 3 1 W21 418 SW 7 2485 P 05/18-01 17 4 1 55 38 SW 6 6 3 1 W23 343 SW 7 2013 P 05/18-02 17 4 1 53 40 SW 7 7 3 1 W24 267 SW 7 1541 P 05/18-03 17 4 1 51 41 SW 7 7 3 1 W26 191 SW 7 1069 P 05/18-04 17 4 1 50 43 SW 7 7 3 1 W28 186 SW 7 1091 P 05/18-05 17 4 1 50 44 SW 8 8 3 1 W29 181 SW 7 1113 P 05/18-06 32 3 1 50 44 SW 8 13 3 1 W31 175 SW 7 1134 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER/SWE REQUESTED BY...BOYD LEBEDA REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120515.HEWLE.01/BOU