FNUS73 KDLH 151321
FWSDLH

SPOT FORECAST FOR BRINKS RED SAVANNA...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
821 AM CDT TUE MAY 15 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON MAY 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE LATE THIS MORNING AND
REMAIN QUITE GUSTY FROM THE NORTHWEST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. AT
THIS POINT IT APPEARS THE LAKE WILL HAVE LITTLE IMPACT ON THE
WINDS. LOW PRESSURE EXITING TO THE EAST AND HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING
IN FROM THE WEST...COMBINED WITH DEEP BOUNDARY LAYER MIXING WILL
PRODUCE WIDESPREAD NORTH OR NORTHWEST WINDS...SUSTAINED AROUND 12
TO 16 MPH...WITH GUSTS 20 TO 30 MPH THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. WITH
THE WINDS OFF THE LAKE...COULD SEE SLIGHTLY HIGHER HUMIDITIES THAN
EXPECTED. HOWEVER...BURN SITE MIGHT BE TOO FAR INLAND TO BE
DIRECTLY INFLUENCE BY HIGHER LAKE MOISTURE. SHOULD START TO SEE
WINDS DIMINISH AFTER 2 PM...AND BECOME LIGHT BY THE MID TO LATE
EVENING TIME FRAME. HUMIDITIES IN THE MID 20 PERCENT RANGE THIS
AFTERNOON WILL RECOVER INTO THE 70 AND 80 PERCENT RANGE TONIGHT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY THIS MORNING...BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-71.
MIN HUMIDITY........24-27 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY THIS MORNING...INCREASING
                    TO NORTHWEST 11 TO 15 MPH AFTER 10 AM WITH GUSTS
                    UP TO 27 MPH THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 25 TO 30 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (41500) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (151700).

TIME (CDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
TEMP............64     67     69     64     65
RH..............45     39     26     29     31
20 FT WIND DIR..W      NW     NW     NW     NW
20 FT WIND SPD..7      11     15     12     10
20 FT WIND GUST.9      15     28     23     16

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-39.
MAX HUMIDITY........70-80 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 11 MPH DECREASING TO 3 TO
                    5 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (88200) DECREASING TO POOR (2050) IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

TIME (CDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
TEMP............62     53     46     42     37     38
RH..............32     43     56     66     76     70
20 FT WIND DIR..NW     NW     NW     NW     W      W
20 FT WIND SPD..9      7      6      3      2      2
20 FT WIND GUST.11     9      8      6      3      3

$$
FORECASTER...BRIAN
REQUESTED BY...KAREN VANZO
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120515.BRINK.01/DLH