FNUS72 KJAX 151039 FWSJAX SPOT FORECAST FOR BALDWIN BAY 2...FFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 639 AM EDT TUE MAY 15 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0627 EDT ON MAY 15. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A FRONTAL TROUGH WILL LINGER ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH MIDWEEK. EXPECT SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...AND ONCE AGAIN WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL GENERALLY REMAIN UNDER 10 MPH...EXCEPT STRONG AND GUSTY NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87. MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 7 TO 9 MPH BY AFTERNOON. LAL.................2 UNTIL 0900...THEN 3 UNTIL 1500...THEN 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL EARLY...INCREASING TO 3500-4500 FT AGL BY AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........SOUTH LESS THAN 5 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 13 TO 15 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....20 OR LESS EARLY...INCREASING TO 65 TO 70 IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT EARLY...INCREASING TO 60 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........63 71 68 68 70 73 WEATHER COV.....S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............66 73 81 86 87 87 RH..............97 96 69 55 48 48 20 FT WIND......SW 1 SW 3 SW 9 SW 9 SW 8 S 8 20 FT WIND GUST.5 10 10 15 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....300 1300 2700 3800 4400 4300 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 0 SW 5 W 13 SW 14 SW 14 SW 15 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 30 30 50 60 60 LAL.............2 3 3 3 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE EVENING...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64. MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. LAL.................4 UNTIL 1900...THEN 3 UNTIL 2400...THEN 2. MIXING HEIGHT.......2500-3500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL OVERNIGHT. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 6 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO 1 TO 3 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. DISPERSION INDEX....59 DECREASING TO 3. CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT IN THE EVENING...DECREASING TO 20 PERCENT AFTER MIDNIGHT. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........71 67 67 66 62 63 WEATHER COV.....LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............84 78 73 70 68 66 RH..............52 66 81 89 94 98 20 FT WIND......S 8 S 6 S 2 SW 0 SW 1 SW 1 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....3500 2400 1200 700 400 200 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 15 SW 14 SW 10 SW 6 SW 1 SW 0 CHC OF PCPN (%).60 40 30 20 20 20 LAL.............4 3 3 2 2 2 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87. MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500-4500 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........WEST 3 TO 7 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 12 TO 15 MPH BY AFTERNOON. DISPERSION INDEX....6 INCREASING TO 49 IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT. $$ FORECASTER...ALLEN REQUESTED BY...PAT DEREN TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120515.BALDW.01/JAX