FNUS72 KMFL 141300
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR DUPUIS 23 24...SFWMD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
900 AM EDT MON MAY 14 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON MAY 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
TO ANSWER YOUR QUESTIONS...
1.  WINDS LOOK TO BE LIGHT OVER THE NEXT 2 DAYS, CALM IN THE MORNING
THEN ONLY ABOUT 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON, POSSIBLY BRIEFLY REACHING
10 MPH BEFORE THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP.
2. THERE IS A HIGH LIKELIHOOD OF RECEIVING MORE THAN 3 INCHES OF RAIN
BY NEXT TUESDAY. IN FACT, THIS COULD BE DROPPED IN HEAVY THUNDERSTORMS
THIS AFTERNOON AND OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

SO THE SET UP OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS IS A LIGHT SE WIND REGIME WITH
AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING, SOME LOCALLY HEAVY.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 87.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 50 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1000...THEN 2 UNTIL 1100...THEN 3.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300-4000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 3
                    TO 7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....16.
LVORI...............3.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM
SKY (%).........50     50     60     60     60     60
WEATHER COV.....       S CHC  SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........       S CHC  SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD
TEMP............76     82     86     87     87     83
RH..............74     60     52     50     50     57
20 FT WIND......SW 2   SE 2   SE 2   E 2    E 3    E 3
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      5      5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....2300   4000   4000   4500   4500   4500
MIXNG WIND......SW 5   SE 3   SE 3   E 3    E 7    E 7
DISPERSION IDX..12     15     15     13     19     19
LVORI...........4      2      2      2      2      2
CHC OF PCPN (%).50     50     50     50     50     50
LAL.............2      3      3      3      3      3

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 68.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 97 PERCENT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2300...THEN 1.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-500 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING.
DISPERSION INDEX....3.
LVORI...............6.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 88.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 48 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1100...THEN 3.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-4000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 2 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHEAST 3 TO 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....11 INCREASING TO 19 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...GREGORIA
REQUESTED BY...SCHUETTE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120515.DUPUI.01/MFL