FNUS72 KMFL 151955
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR RACCOON POINT BURN...FHP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
355 PM EDT TUE MAY 15 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1600 EDT ON MAY 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
LIGHT EAST TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE
JUST TO THE WEST OF THE BURN SITE THIS AFTERNOON. THESE STORMS
WILL MOVE SLOWLY TO THE EAST TOWARDS THE BURN SITE OVER THE NEXT
SEVERAL HOURS. STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE...WITH
FREQUENT LIGHTNING...STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND EVEN HAIL. SCATTERED
SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE LATE EVENING HOURS. WINDS
WILL BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE TONIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR
70 FOR A LOW...SO FOG IS NOT ANTICIPATED. LIGHT EASTERLY WINDS ARE
EXPECTED DURING THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY...WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE LATE EVENING
                    AND OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 69.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 100 PERCENT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2300...THEN 1.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-500 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 1 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
                    AROUND 3 MPH LATE IN THE NIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....2.
LVORI...............6.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   6 AM
SKY (%).........76     76     76     65     65     65
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........CHANCE CHANCE
TEMP............82     77     74     72     71     70
RH..............65     76     84     87     90     93
20 FT WIND......SE 1   SE 1   S 3    SW 2   SW 2   W 2
20 FT WIND GUST.              5      5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....2500   2500   500    300    300    300
MIXNG WIND......SE 1   SE 1   S 2    SW 5   SW 5   SE 3
DISPERSION IDX..1      1      2      2      2      2
LVORI...........4      4      5      7      7      8
CHC OF PCPN (%).30     30     30     30     30     30
LAL.............3      3      1      1      1      1

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 89.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 44 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000-4500 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 2 TO 5 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....11.
LVORI...............3.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...KENNEDY
REQUESTED BY...SGT HARRIS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120515.RACCO.01/MFL