FNUS76 KMFR 151410
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR EAST MCCLOUD TS UNDERBURN...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
710 AM PDT TUE MAY 15 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 PDT ON MAY 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED OVER THE BURN AREA
TODAY. SOME CUMULUS BUILD UPS ARE EXPECTED IN THE
AFTERNOON...BUT IT DOES NOT LOOK UNSTABLE ENOUGH FOR
ISOLATED STORMS TO DEVELOP. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL
MOVE TOWARDS THE BURN AREA WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND
THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR AN ISOLATED STORMS TO
DEVELOP LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. WINDS WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON ARE EXPECTED TO BE STRONGER THAN TODAY.
THOUGH IT WILL BE NOTICEABLY COOLER...THERE IS A HIGHER
PROBABILITY FOR THUNDERSTORMS AHEAD OF A LOW PRESSURE
TROUGH ON THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THE AIR MASS WILL BEGIN
TO WARM AND STABILIZE ON FRIDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-84.
MIN HUMIDITY........18-21 PERCENT.
20 FT WINDS.........NORTH 1-3 MPH THROUGH MID MORNING...INCREASING
                    TO 6-11 MPH WITH A FEW GUSTS TO 13 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL IN THE MORNING. INCREASING TO
                    8500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 8-13 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....46-49.
MAX HUMIDITY........67-71 PERCENT.
20 FT. WINDS........NORTH 5-10 MPH EARLY EVENING...THEN WEST-NORTHWEST
                    1-3 MPH THROUGH THE NIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL THROUGH
                    THE NIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 3-7 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-78.
MIN HUMIDITY........24-28 PERCENT.
20FT. WINDS.........NORTH 1-3 MPH IN THE MORNING. NORTHWEST 8-13
                    WITH A FEW GUSTS TO 16 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-700 FT AGL IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING
                    TO 6500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST-SOUTHWEST 10-15 MPH.
CWR.................6 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 IN THE MORNING. 2 IN THE AFTERNOON.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 45 TO 50. HIGHS
66 TO 71. WEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
.FRIDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 38 TO 43. HIGHS 63 TO 68. NORTH WIND 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 40 TO 45. HIGHS 69 TO 74. NORTHWEST WIND 3 TO 8 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...PETRUCELLI/WEYGAND
REQUESTED BY...STEVEN CLARK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120515.EASTM.01/MFR