FNUS73 KMPX 150114
FWSMPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR GLACIAL LAKES 2012...MN DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
814 PM CDT MON MAY 14 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1700 CDT ON MAY 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING AT THE BURN
SITE...SO THE WIND WILL HAVE SWITCHED TO THE NORTHWEST BY THE
AFTERNOON. THE IGNITION TIME IS LATE ENOUGH IN THE DAY THAT WINDS
MIGHT ACTUALLY BE SHOWING SOME SIGNS OF WEAKENING SLIGHTLY FROM
THE BREEZY CONDITIONS BEHIND THE FRONT. THE WIND COULD ALSO VEER
FROM NORTHWEST AND BECOME MORE NORTH/NORTHWEST. LITTLE CLOUD COVER
TOMORROW. LOWERED THE RH FROM WHAT WAS ISSUED IN THE MONDAY
AFTERNOON FIRE WEATHER FORECAST. LIKE TODAY...THE AIR BEHIND THE
FRONT IS QUITE DRY. EVEN THOUGH TEMPS WILL BE SLIGHTLY
COOLER...THE DEW POINT TEMPERATURE MIGHT BE EVEN A LITTLE COOLER
TOMORROW AS WELL. MINIMUM RH IN THE 30S SEEMS LIKE A SLAM DUNK
AND THINK IT WILL BOTTOM OUT CLOSER TO 20% TOMORROW AFTERNOON.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........70 AT IGNITION...MAX 73.
RH..................26 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 24 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTH/NORTHWEST AT 13 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    NORTH/NORTHWEST WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    25 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW AT IGNITION...MAX 6.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (12100-42600) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT (134800-150000).
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7100-7200 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 25 TO 32 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      3 PM   5 PM   7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM
SKY (%).........PCLDY  MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............70     70     69     60     54     51
RH..............24     26     32     46     54     61
20 FT WIND......NW 14  NW 13  NW 11  NW 6   NW 4   NW 3
20 FT WIND GUST.25     20     20     10     5      5
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      4      4      4

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 77.
RH..................MIN 24 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW TO OR MODERATE.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (1100-45500) INCREASING TO GOOD TO
                    EXCELLENT (54800-74900) IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4200-5400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 6 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 16 TO 23 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...FRANKS
REQUESTED BY...CINDY LUETH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120515.GLACI.03/MPX