FNUS73 KMPX 151130
FWSMPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR ORDWAY PRAIRIE...THE NATURE CONSERVANCY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
630 AM CDT TUE MAY 15 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON MAY 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT THAT WAS LOCATED ACROSS CENTRAL MINNESOTA THIS MORNING
WILL MOVE THROUGH THE STATE BY NOON WITH STRONG WINDS FROM THE NORTH.
SUSTAINED SPEEDS WILL REACH THE 15-20 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS OF 25-30 MPH.
THE DRY AIRMASS MOVING INTO THE REGION BEHIND THE FRONT WILL FORCE
RH VALUES DOWN CLOSE TO 25 PERCENT. WIND SPEEDS WILL SETTLE DOWN AROUND
SUNSET AND CONTINUE TO DECREASE OVERNIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD
ACROSS THE STATE OVERNIGHT...WITH RETURN FLOW FROM THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST
LATE WEDNESDAY AS THE HIGH MOVES OFF TO THE SOUTHEAST.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........66 AT IGNITION...MAX 70.
RH..................40 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 26 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTH AT 19 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    NORTH WINDS 14 TO 19 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW AT IGNITION...MAX 6.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (12400-43400) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT (125600-136600).
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5700-7100 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 25 TO 31 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............62     66     68     70     69     67
RH..............48     40     33     27     27     32
20 FT WIND......N 15   N 17   N 17   N 17   N 17   N 15
20 FT WIND GUST.25     30     30     30     30     25
HAINES INDEX....5      4      3      4      4      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 42.
RH..................MAX 79 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    25 MPH DECREASING TO 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (73600-114600) DECREASING TO POOR TO
                    GOOD (700-36600) EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500-6300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 15 TO 24 MPH BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 3
                    MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 75.
RH..................MIN 24 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW TO OR MODERATE.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (0-45000) INCREASING TO GOOD
                    (54000) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...CALDERONE
REQUESTED BY...MATT GRAEVE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120515.ORDWA.01/MPX