FNUS75 KMSO 150048
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR HAYES CREEK RX UNIT C
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
648 PM MDT MON MAY 14 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1230 MDT ON MAY 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...COLD FRONT PASSAGE IS NOT EXPECTED UNTIL THURSDAY.
AHEAD OF THE FRONT...WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE FROM THE WEST
AND BECOME GUSTY IN THE AFTERNOONS...ESPECIALLY ON WEDNESDAY. THE
LOCATION OF THE BURN MAY LEAD TO SOME ERRATIC WINDS IN THE
AFTERNOON DUE TO THE POSITION OF A DRAINAGE TO YOUR NORTH AND
SOUTH. THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BE VERY UNSTABLE BOTH TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY BUT WITH WINDS INCREASING WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...THIS DAY
WILL LIKELY SEE BETTER DISPERSION. THERE IS AN ISOLATED CHANCE FOR
A THUNDERSTORM TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON ALTHOUGH CURRENTLY EXPECT
MOST THE ACTIVITY TO REMAIN TO YOUR SOUTHEAST.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY IN THE MORNING BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 3-5 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST 5-8 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8200 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 10 MPH.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-43.
MAX HUMIDITY........60-65 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6-8 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING DOWNSLOPE 2-4 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 5 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 3-5 MPH BECOMING WEST AROUND
                    6-10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 20 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...PALLISTER/ROBINSON
REQUESTED BY...JACQUIE PARKS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120515.HAYES.01/MSO