FNUS73 KABR 161333
FWSABR

SPOT FORECAST FOR JORGENSON CREEK...SISSETON AGENCY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
833 AM CDT WED MAY 16 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0840 CDT ON MAY 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
EXPECT SUNNY AND DRY CONDITIONS ALL DAY TODAY AT THE BURN
LOCATION. THE AIRMASS IN PLACE IS STILL RATHER DRY. SO SEEING
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES DROP TO LESS THAN 30 PERCENT THIS
AFTERNOON IS LIKELY. THE SURFACE PRESSURE PATTERN WILL FAVOR
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST WINDS TODAY...STARTING OUT RATHER LIGHT THIS
MORNING GENERALLY UNDER 10 MPH. HOWEVER...BY NOON CDT
TODAY...SOUTHERLY WIND SPEEDS WILL INCREASE TO MORE LIKE 10 TO 20
MPH WITH SOME GUSTINESS TO 25 TO 30 MPH. THE GUSTINESS WILL BE
MORE NOTICEABLE LATER IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT CLOUD).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78.
MIN HUMIDITY........27-32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS UNTIL 0900...THEN SOUTH 7 TO 17 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL UNTIL 1300...THEN 5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 11 TO 16 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....AROUND 16800 UNTIL 1300...THEN AROUND 69800.
CWR.................ZERO.
LAL.................1.

TIME (CDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........4      15     17     18     23     29
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............50     59     67     72     74     74
RH..............63     46     36     31     29     30
20 FT WIND......SE 4   SE 7   S 10   S 12   S 15   S 14
20 FT WIND GUST.5      10     15     20     25     20

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT CLOUD) UNTIL
                    2300...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT CLOUD)
                    UNTIL 0600...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT
                    CLOUD). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    AFTER 0100.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
MAX HUMIDITY........67-72 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH IN
                    THE LATE EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 0100.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 25 TO 32 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....6200-12700.
CWR.................ZERO.
LAL.................3.

TIME (CDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
SKY (%).........30     40     53     62     58     53
WEATHER COV.....                     CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............72     64     59     58     57     56
RH..............33     44     55     61     66     70
20 FT WIND......S 14   S 12   S 11   S 12   S 12   S 12
20 FT WIND GUST.20     20     20     20     20     20

$$
FORECASTER...DORN
REQUESTED BY...HEATH ESTEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120516.JORGE.01/ABR