FNUS73 KDLH 161315
FWSDLH

SPOT FORECAST FOR BLOCK D...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
815 AM CDT WED MAY 16 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 CDT ON MAY 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE EXPECTED AT THE
FIRE SITE FOR TODAY...AS HUMIDITY VALUES DROP TO ABOUT 20 PERCENT.
WE ARE NOT REALLY EXPECTING MUCH OF A LAKE EFFECT IMPACT TODAY FOR
THAT SPECIFIC LOCATION. WINDS IN GENERAL WILL BE QUITE LIGHT. THE
WINDS WILL START OUT HIGHLY VARIABLE BUT LIGHT...THEN TRANSITION TO
A WEST TO SOUTHWEST DIRECTION BY LATE AFTERNOON. WHILE TODAY WILL
BE DRY...TONIGHT SHOULD BECOME A BIT MORE DICEY...AS THUNDERSTORMS
DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA. THE BEST CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE FROM THE BRAINERD LAKES AREA INTO NORTHERN WISCONSIN.
THE STORMS WILL CONTINUE ON THURSDAY. THIS WILL LEAD TO STRONGER
SOUTHERLY WINDS ON THURSDAY...AND HIGHER RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-69.
MIN HUMIDITY........20 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH...THEN
                    SOUTHWEST LATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6500 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
TEMP............51     60     62     65     67
RH..............52     27     25     21     20
20 FT WIND DIR..N      N      NW     W      SW
20 FT WIND SPD..3      3      4      5      6
20 FT WIND GUST.5      7      8      9      10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 20
                    PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-43.
MAX HUMIDITY........79 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 3 TO 4 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTHEAST 3 TO 5
                    MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

TIME (CDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
TEMP............64     53     46     46     43     41
RH..............26     39     54     67     76     79
20 FT WIND DIR..SE     SE     SE     S      SE     SE
20 FT WIND SPD..4      4      4      3      2      3
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      5

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 40
                    PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-69.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST 10
                    TO 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2700 FT AGL.

TIME (CDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
TEMP............45     57     64     62     67     67
RH..............76     66     55     50     45     47
20 FT WIND DIR..SE     SE     S      S      SE     SE
20 FT WIND SPD..6      7      9      11     12     11
20 FT WIND GUST.7      8      13     16     18     16

$$
FORECASTER...DEAN P.
REQUESTED BY...STEVE RADAJ
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120516.BLOCK.01/DLH