FNUS73 KDLH 161321
FWSDLH

SPOT FORECAST FOR LTFWA  2...WDNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
821 AM CDT WED MAY 16 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 CDT ON MAY 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE EXPECTED AT THE
FIRE SITE FOR TODAY...AS HUMIDITY VALUES DROP TO ABOUT 20 PERCENT.
WE ARE NOT REALLY EXPECTING MUCH OF A LAKE EFFECT IMPACT TODAY FOR
THAT SPECIFIC LOCATION. WINDS IN GENERAL WILL BE QUITE LIGHT. THE
WINDS WILL START OUT HIGHLY VARIABLE BUT LIGHT...THEN TRANSITION TO
A NORTHWEST TO WEST DIRECTION BY LATE AFTERNOON. WHILE TODAY WILL
BE DRY...TONIGHT SHOULD BECOME A BIT MORE DICEY...AS THUNDERSTORMS
DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA. THE BEST CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE FROM THE BRAINERD LAKES AREA INTO NORTHERN WISCONSIN.
THE STORMS WILL CONTINUE ON THURSDAY. THIS WILL LEAD TO STRONGER
SOUTHERLY WINDS ON THURSDAY...AND HIGHER RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....61-66.
MIN HUMIDITY........20 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 3 TO 6 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    4 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (21500) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (76700)
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT (68900) EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO GOOD (59800) LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
TEMP............52     56     60     63     64
RH..............48     28     25     21     20
20 FT WIND DIR..N      N      NW     NW     N
20 FT WIND SPD..3      5      6      5      4
20 FT WIND GUST.4      7      7      6      5

$$
FORECASTER...DEAN P.
REQUESTED BY...KELLY MARTINKO
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120516.LTFWA.01/DLH