FNUS73 KDMX 161014 FWSDMX SPOT FORECAST FOR REIFF PARK...IDNR FORESTRY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA 514 AM CDT WED MAY 16 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON MAY 16. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. AN INITIAL OBSERVATION AT IGNITION AND A MID BURN OBSERVATION ARE REQUIRED... PLEASE RELAY THEM TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR EACH PRESCRIBED BURN. .DISCUSSION... VERY LIGHT NORTH NORTHEAST WINDS EARLY THIS MORNING WILL TURN THROUGH EAST TO SOUTH SOUTHEAST AND INCREASE TO AROUND 10 MPH BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON. RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL DROP RAPIDLY WITH WARMING AFTER SUNRISE...BOTTOMING OUT AROUND 25 PERCENT LATE IN THE DAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........66 AT IGNITION...MAX 76. RH..................34 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 26 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5400 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........EAST 6 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (1300-48700 KNOT-FT). WIND (20 FT)........WINDS EAST AT 8 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........8 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TSTM COV........ TEMP............66 69 71 73 75 76 76 75 RH..............34 31 29 28 26 26 26 28 20 FT WIND DIR..E E SE SE SE SE SE S 20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 8 9 9 10 10 10 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 15 15 15 EYE LVL WND DIR.E E SE SE SE SE SE S EYE LVL WND SPD.6 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 EYE LVL WND GST.10 10 10 10 10 15 15 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...4.2 4.6 5.1 5.2 5.3 5.4 5.1 4.8 MIXNG WIND DIR..NE E E E SE SE SE SE MIXNG WIND SPD..14 10 7 6 5 5 6 8 HAINES INDEX....5 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 89. RH..................MIN 28 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 14 TO 23 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7100 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 16 TO 25 MPH INCREASING TO 29 TO 31 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (7300-44400 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT (146500-183400 KNOT-FT). WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 14 TO 23 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........38 30 22 30 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV........ TEMP............57 73 83 88 RH..............67 43 33 28 20 FT WIND......S 14G20 S 22G30 S 21G30 S 23G30 EYE LEVEL WIND..S 10G20 S 16G30 S 15G30 S 16G30 MIX HGT (FT)....500 2800 5600 7100 MIXNG WIND......S 16 S 29 S 30 S 30 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 $$ FORECASTER...LEE REQUESTED BY...JOE SCHWARTZ TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120516.REIFF.05/DMX