FNUS72 KJAX 160729 FWSJAX SPOT FORECAST FOR COUNTY LINE FIRE...FLORIDA HIGHWAY PATROL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 329 AM EDT WED MAY 16 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0335 EDT ON MAY 16. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL LINGER ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THURSDAY...WITH AFTERNOON AND EVENING SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. SOUTHWEST WINDS GENERALLY UNDER 10 MPH WILL PREVAIL...EXCEPT GUSTY NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84. MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1000...THEN 2 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3. MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000-4000 FT AGL BY AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST LESS THAN 5 MPH EARLY...INCREASING TO AROUND 10 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....5 INCREASING TO 31. CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT. LVORI...............10 EARLY...DECREASING TO 1. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........59 68 70 72 75 77 WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE.... TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............68 70 77 82 84 84 RH..............99 96 74 60 48 52 20 FT WIND......SW 1 SW 2 SW 5 SW 6 SW 7 SW 8 20 FT WIND GUST.3 4 7 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....200 300 1800 2900 4000 3700 TRANSPORT WIND..W 1 SW 2 W 8 W 10 SW 8 SW 8 LVORI...........10 8 3 1 1 1 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 20 30 40 40 LAL.............1 1 2 3 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63. MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. LAL.................3 UNTIL 0400...THEN 2 UNTIL 0500...THEN 1. MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100-600 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 1 TO 7 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....19 DECREASING TO 3 EARLY IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT. LVORI...............2 EARLY...INCREASING TO 10. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........79 81 80 79 78 75 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............81 75 70 67 65 64 RH..............61 84 92 99 100 100 20 FT WIND......S 7 S 3 S 2 S 2 SW 2 SW 1 20 FT WIND GUST. 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....2700 1000 600 100 100 100 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 7 S 5 S 2 S 2 SW 2 SW 1 LVORI...........2 5 6 9 9 10 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 50 40 30 30 20 LAL.............3 3 3 3 3 2 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89. MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS EARLY...BECOMING EAST 8 TO 12 MPH BY AFTERNOON. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3 UNTIL 1500...THEN 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3800-5100 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........LIGHT EARLY...BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 12 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....5 INCREASING TO 15 LATE IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT. LVORI...............9 EARLY...DECREASING TO 2. $$ FORECASTER...ALLEN REQUESTED BY...SGT S W COODY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120516.COUNT.01/JAX