FNUS72 KJAX 170128
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR COUNTY LINE FIRE...FLORIDA HIGHWAY PATROL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
928 PM EDT WED MAY 16 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 2200 EDT ON MAY 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A PERSISTENT TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL LINGER ACROSS THE REGION
THROUGH THURSDAY...WITH SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH WILL
GENERALLY PREVAIL THROUGH THURSDAY...EXCEPT GUSTY NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.

PATCHY LATE NIGHT FOG POSSIBLE WITH LVORI INDEX VALUES OF 10 BY 4 AM
AND LASTING THROUGH 8 AM.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS LATE IN THE EVENING...THEN ISOLATED
                    SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-800 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 3 TO 6 MPH.

TIME (EDT)      10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........75     73     70     69
WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD ISOLTD ISOLTD
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............69     67     65     64
RH..............91     95     99     100
20 FT WIND......S 3    S 2    SW 2   SW 2
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....600    400    200    100
TRANSPORT WIND..S 6    S 3    SW 2   SW 2
LVORI...........5      7      9      10
DISPERSION INDX.8      3      2      2
CHC OF PCPN (%).30     30     20     20
LAL.............1      1      1      1

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS
                    IN THE MORNING...THEN NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 MPH LATE
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3 UNTIL 1600...THEN 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4100-4400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 4 TO 8 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....3 INCREASING TO 35 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........62     55     48     46     45     45
WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD ISOLTD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD NUMRUS
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............62     65     77     83     86     86
RH..............100    98     68     54     47     46
20 FT WIND......SW 1   W 0    W 2    NW 3   N 3    NE 5
20 FT WIND GUST.
MIX HGT (FT)....100    200    2200   3500   4300   4300
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 1   W 0    W 6    W 8    W 5    NW 5
LVORI...........10     10     3      1      2      2
DISPERSION INDX.2      1      4      36     26     25
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     20     30     50     50     60
LAL.............1      1      1      3      3      4

$$
FORECASTER...HESS
REQUESTED BY...SGT  S W  COODY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120516.COUNT.02/JAX