FNUS73 KMPX 161222
FWSMPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR SPRING CREEK...MN DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
722 AM CDT WED MAY 16 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON MAY 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL PREVAIL OVER THE AREA TODAY. MOSTLY SUNNY
SKIES WITH NO MOISTURE ADVECTION WILL COMBINE TO DROP RH VALUES
TO NEAR 20 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON. LIGHT/VARIABLE WINDS THROUGH EARLY
AFTERNOON WILL DEVELOP A MORE SOUTHERLY COMPONENT AND INCREASE TO NEAR
10 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 10 TO 15 MPH. CLOUDS INCREASE OVERNIGHT THROUGH
TOMORROW AS A WARM FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTHWEST...POSSIBLY
BRINGING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DURING MAINLY THE FIRST
HALF OF THE DAY ON THURSDAY.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........62 AT IGNITION...MAX 71.
RH..................32 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 21 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHWEST AT 2 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH
                    5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (900-30600).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5200-5700 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 5 TO 8 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............54     62     66     69     70     69
RH..............45     32     26     21     22     25
20 FT WIND......NW 2   NW 2   NW 3   W 4    SW 5   S 5
20 FT WIND GUST.              5      5
HAINES INDEX....3      3      3      4      4      5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF RAIN 20 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 48.
RH..................MAX 86 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (2000-17400).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300-4900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-1800 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 5 TO 14 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF RAIN 40
                    PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 77.
RH..................MIN 42 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    25 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...CALDERONE
REQUESTED BY...RUSS SMITH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120516.SPRIN.01/MPX