FNUS75 KTFX 161705
FWSTFX

SPOT FORECAST FOR SHEEP ASPEN 54   61...LEWIS & CLARK NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
1105 AM MDT WED MAY 16 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1110 MDT ON MAY 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA TODAY
AND BRING ANOTHER VERY WARM AND DRY DAY. MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES WILL DROP BELOW 20 PERCENT...BUT WITH GOOD OVERNIGHT
RECOVER. THE AIRMASS WILL BECOME UNSTABLE THIS AFTERNOON AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS COULD DEVELOP DURING THE AFTERNOON...GUSTY
WINDS OF 45 TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE NEAR THESE THUNDERSTORMS. A
LOW PRESSURE TROF WILL APPROACH THE AREA THURSDAY AND THE AIRMASS
WILL AGAIN BECOME UNSTABLE. TEMPERATURES WILL BE COOLER AND
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL REMAIN ABOVE 20 PERCENT. A COLD FRONT
WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON OR EARLY
EVENING AND WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN FROM THE WEST.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE LATE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................LESS THAN 10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83.
MIN HUMIDITY........9-14 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
RIDGE TOP WIND......WEST AROUND 15 MPH
MIXING HEIGHT.......12000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 10 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-42.
MAX HUMIDITY........75-80 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
RIDGE TOP WIND......WEST TO NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-71.
MIN HUMIDITY........17-22 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WIND......SOUTH AROUN 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...ZELZER
REQUESTED BY...MARK CONWAY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120516.SHEEP.02/TFX