FNUS75 KBYZ 171145
FWSBYZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR STAG...USDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
545 AM MDT THU MAY 17 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0525 MDT ON MAY 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
LOOK FOR LIGHT MORNING WINDS TO TURN TO THE NORTHEAST BY THIS AFTERNOON.
WE WILL SEE A MIX OF SUN AND CLOUDS TODAY WITH A LIGHT SHOWER POSSIBLE
THIS MORNING...AND A FEW SHOWERS OR AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM THIS AFTERNOON.
SHOWERS AND MAYBE SOME THUNDER WILL LINGER OVERNIGHT. A PACIFIC FRONT WILL
MOVE THROUGH THE FIRE SITE AROUND 6 AM FRIDAY MORNING SHIFTING WINDS ABRUPTLY
TO THE WEST AND NORTHWEST AT 10 TO 20 MPH FOR MUCH OF THE DAY FRIDAY. THERE
WILL BE A GOOD CHANCE OF SEEING SOME RAIN FRIDAY OR FRIDAY EVENING. BT


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED SHOWER OR SPRINKLES IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................14 PERCENT.
LAL.................2...1 TO 8 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84.
MIN HUMIDITY........18-23 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT DOWNSLOPE WINDS UNDER 7 MPH THIS MORNING WILL
                    BECOME NORTH TO NORTHEAST AT 5 TO 15 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
 RIDGETOP...........NORTHERLY 5 TO 15 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN ISOLATED
                    RAIN SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................24 PERCENT.
LAL.................2...1 TO 8 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-57.
MAX HUMIDITY........61-72 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING.
                    TURNING SOUTHERLY AND DOWNLSOPE OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................25 PERCENT.
LAL.................2...1 TO 8 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73.
MIN HUMIDITY........37-45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    MORNING.
 RIDGETOP...........NORTHWEST  15 TO 25 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...TESAR
REQUESTED BY...PATRICK DAVIS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120517.STAG_.01/BYZ