FNUS73 KDLH 172157
FWSDLH

SPOT FORECAST FOR ELY WILDFIRE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
457 PM CDT THU MAY 17 2012

.DISCUSSION...

THE STRONG WINDS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE THIS EVENING...BUT PICK BACK
UP ON FRIDAY. THERE IS A CHANCE FOR SOME SHOWERS AND EVEN A THUNDERSTORM
TONIGHT. ALTHOUGH A SHOWER COULD DEVELOP OVER THE NEXT COUPLE HOURS...THE
BEST CHANCE WILL BE LATE THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

A WARM FRONT WILL PUSH NORTH THROUGH THE REGION OVERNIGHT AND
FRIDAY...WITH THE CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION DIMINISHING. IT WILL BE
WARM...BREEZY...WITH HUMIDITY VALUES DOWN TO 29 TO 34 PERCENT ON FRIDAY.

A COLD FRONT WILL START TO MOVE IN FRIDAY NIGHT...WITH SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM
CHANCES INCREASING SUBSTANTIALLY SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY NIGHT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE LATE
                    IN THE EVENING. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH THE
                    NIGHT. A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION INCREASING TO 50 PERCENT
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-53.
MAX HUMIDITY........75 TO 85 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    30 MPH DECREASING TO 8 TO 13 MPH AFTER 8 PM. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (41700) DECREASING TO POOR (3450) IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

TIME (CDT)      7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM
TEMP............70  68  62  57  55  55  56  55  53  53  52  53
RH..............33  39  48  57  61  61  59  66  74  77  83  80
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..15  12  10  8   8   8   8   8   8   8   8   9
20 FT WIND GUST.26  22  16  14  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY. A
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF
                    PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85.
MIN HUMIDITY........29 TO 34 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 13 MPH INCREASING TO 14 TO 19
                    MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 29 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 25 TO 30 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (10400) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (105700).

TIME (CDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
TEMP............54     63     73     80     82     82
RH..............77     65     49     33     30     29
20 FT WIND DIR..S      S      S      S      S      S
20 FT WIND SPD..9      10     13     15     15     15
20 FT WIND GUST.13     13     22     26     28     27

$$
FORECASTER...DEAN M.
REQUESTED BY...T  DURKIN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120517.ELYWI.01/DLH