FNUS76 KMFR 161456
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR CAM 11...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
756 AM PDT WED MAY 16 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 PDT ON MAY 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
SOME HIGH CLOUDS WILL PASS OVER THE BURN SITE TODAY. CONDITIONS WILL BE DRY
AND A LITTLE COOLER TODAY WITH WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS EXPECTED. COOLING
WILL BE MORE NOTICEABLE THURSDAY WITH CLOUDY SKIES EXPECTED AND A CHANCE
OF LIGHT SHOWERS. THURSDAY WILL BE BREEZY AT THE BURN SITE WITH NORTHWEST WINDS
ABOUT 25 PERCENT STRONGER THAN WEDNESDAY. THE COLD AIR MASS WILL LINGER
THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY THEN IT WILL BE WARMER FOR THE WEEKEND. THE
NEXT TROUGH WILL APPROACH SUNDAY WITH WEAK INSTABILITY POSSIBLE SUNDAY
AFTERNOON THEN A COOLING TREND WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS MAINLY WEST OF
THE CASCADES.

**WIND DIRECTIONS AND SPEEDS BASED ON MODEL GUIDANCE...NEARBY OBSERVATIONS...AND
PROVIDED SHELTERING AND EXPOSURE...OBSERVATIONS FROM THE BURN SITE ENHANCE
WIND FORECASTS SIGNFICANTLY**


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY WITH SOME HIGH CLOUDS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-74.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WEST WIND 0 TO 2 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST 4 TO 6 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 5000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-43.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 2 TO 4 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT
                    NORTHWEST EAST DOWNSLOPE WIND OVERNIGHT 0 TO 2 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....57-60.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-48 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT DOWNSLOPE EAST WIND IN THE MORNING BECOMING
                    NORTHWEST 6 TO 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 6000 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...KEENE
REQUESTED BY...ERIC SIEMER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120517.CAM11.01/MFR