FNUS76 KMFR 171659
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR HICKEY...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
959 AM PDT THU MAY 17 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0908 PDT ON MAY 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
THICK OVERCAST ASSOCIATED WITH A TROUGH MOVING THROUGH SOUTHERN
OREGON WILL BRING SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS. UP TO A TENTH OF AN
INCH RAIN IS POSSIBLE. THERE IS SOME INSTABILITY ALSO SO AN ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORM THIS AFTERNOON IS NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION. THE TROUGH
AND MOISTURE WILL MOVE EAST OF THE AREA TONIGHT AS MUCH DRIER AND
COOLER AIR MOVES IN FROM THE WEST. SKIES WILL CLEAR TONIGHT AND WILL
REMAIN SO ON FRIDAY. THE AIRMASS WILL REMAIN DRY THIS WEEKEND BUT
THERE WILL BE A WARMING TREND.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS THIS MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58.
MIN HUMIDITY........36-46 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WIND 1-3 MPH INCREASING TO 2-4 MPH
                    WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 7 MPH AFTER 12 NOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 8 TO 12 MPH UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON THEN
                    NORTHWEST 12 TO 16 MPH.
CWR.................15 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH UNTIL 12 NOON THEN BECOMING
                    WEST 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
                    ISOLATED SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....28-30.
MAX HUMIDITY........63-66 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WINDS 3 TO 5 MPH UNTIL MIDNIGHT
                    THEN NORTH 1 TO 2 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 8 TO 12 MPH.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...SARGEANT
REQUESTED BY...JUSTIN PHILLIPS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120517.HICKE.01/MFR