FNUS76 KMFR 170331
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR STAWBERRY RX...US FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
831 PM PDT WED MAY 16 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 PDT ON MAY 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
IT WILL BE MUCH COOLER TODAY DUE TO THE EFFECTS OF A COLD FRONT OVER
THE AREA. THERE WILL BE PLENTY OF CLOUD COVER. SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED
PRIMARILY IN THE AFTERNOON AND POSSIBLY INTO THE EVENING, AND
A THUNDERSTORM IS ALSO POSSIBLE PRIMARILY IN THE LATE AFTERNOON AND
EARLY EVENING. IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT THERE IS A FAIR AMOUNT OF
UNCERTAINTY AS TO WHETHER OR NOT PRECIPITATION WILL OCCUR AT THE BURN
SITE, BUT GENERAL THINKING IS THAT IT WILL IN THE AFTERNOON. WINDS
WILL BE A BIT BREEZY AGAIN. TONIGHT WILL BE COLD AND WINDS WILL
DIMINISH. FRIDAY WILL REMAIN COOL WITH A BIT LESS WIND, BUT RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES WILL FALL OFF SHARPLY DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS.


.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY IN THE MORNING WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS (20%). MOSTLY CLOUDY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    WITH RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY (55%) AND A SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS (20%) IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....53-58.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-41 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST 1-3 MPH BECOMING NORTH-NORTHWEST 3-6
                    MPH WITH GUSTS 7-11 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5500 FT AGL LATE MORNING
                    THEN DECREASING TO 5000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING NORTH-NORTHWEST
                    10-20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.


.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY EARLY IN THE EVENING THEN
                    CLEARING. A CHANCE (40%) OF RAIN SHOWERS AND A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE (20%) OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....27-32.
MAX HUMIDITY........72-88 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH-NORTHWEST 3-6 MPH WITH GUSTS 9 MPH IN THE
                    EVENING, THEN DIMINISHING TO 1-3 MPH OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL OR LESS
                    LATE EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH-NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    DIMINISHING TO 5-10 MPH OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................20 PERCENT IN THE EVENING, THEN 0 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.


.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY IN THE MORNING, BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY DURING THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
MIN HUMIDITY........14-17 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST 1-3 MPH BECOMING 3-5 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL OR LESS EARLY, THEN 2500 FT AGL LATE
                    MORNING, THEN INCREASING TO 5500 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 15
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.


$$
FORECASTER...LUTZ
REQUESTED BY...JUSTIN PHILLIPS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120517.STAWB.01/MFR