FNUS76 KPQR 171519
FWSPQR

FNUS76 KPQR 171241
FWSPQR

SPOT FORECAST FOR BIRDIE  45 46...MCKENZIE RIVER RANGER DISTRICT FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
815 AM PDT THU MAY 17 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 PDT ON MAY 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...COOLER TODAY...

.DISCUSSION...A WEAK UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL BE OVER THE WILLAMETTE
N.F. TODAY. MID AND HIGH LEVEL MOISTURE OVER SOUTHWEST OREGON WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE BURN AREA TODAY. THERE IS A SLIGHTLY
DEEPER MARINE LAYER THIS MORNING AS THE ONSHORE COMPONENT HAS
STRENGTHENED. SUBSIDENCE INVERSIONS SHOULD NOT BE AS PRONOUNCED AS
YESTERDAY. A STRONGER DISTURBANCE TONIGHT WILL LIKELY PUSH THE
MARINE LAYER TO THE CASCADES. SOME LIGHT DRIZZLE IS POSSIBLE IN THE
DEEP MARINE LAYER FRIDAY. HIGH PRESSURE STRENGTHENS SATURDAY THAT
WILL BRING A WARMING TREND FOR THE WEEKEND. THE HIGH PRESSURE WILL
SHIFT EASTWARD ON SUNDAY...THEN RAIN RETURNS NEXT WEEK.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. CONSIDERABLE HIGH CLOUDS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MID 60S.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 TO 40 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WIND........SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST TO 5 MPH IN THE MORNING
                    THEN SOUTHWEST 6 TO 12 MPH. AFTERNOON GUSTS
                    UP TO 18 MPH.

NOTE: BASED ON YESTERDAYS WEATHER BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR A SWITCH
TO NORTHWEST TO NORTH WIND LATE IN THE DAY. IF IT DOES OCCUR...IT
SHOULD NOT LAST TOO LONG.


TIME (PDT)      10 AM       NOON      2 PM       4 PM

TEMP............53           57         61         65
RH..............53-58%      44-49%    40-45%     35-40%
20-FOOT WIND....S-SW 0-5  S-SW 3-8    SW 5-10   SW 6-12
   MAX GUST.....5            12         15         18

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY
                    OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35 TO 38.
MAX HUMIDITY........85 TO 90 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WIND........SOUTHWEST 6 TO 12 MPH THROUGH ABOUT 1900
                    WITH GUSTS TO 18 MPH. WIND EASING TO 4 TO 8
                    MPH BY 2200. WIND BECOMING DOWN SLOPE TO 5
                    MPH BY MIDNIGHT.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY UNTIL AROUND 1200. A CHANCE OF MORNING
                    DRIZZLE. PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60 TO 63.
MIN HUMIDITY........40 TO 45 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WIND........SOUTH TO 5 MPH IN THE MORNING THEN SOUTHWEST
                    6 TO 10 MPH. AFTERNOON GUSTS TO 16 MPH.



$$
FORECASTER...WEISHAAR
REQUESTED BY...BRENDA HALLMARK
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120517.BIRDI.01/PQR