FNAK79 PAFG 190028
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR STUART CREEK...ALASKA FIRE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
428 PM AKDT FRI MAY 18 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1555 AKDT ON MAY 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM AKDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK THERMAL TROUGH OVER THE SOUTHEAST INTERIOR OF ALASKA WILL
PERSIST THROUGH SATURDAY. DUE TO THE WEAKNESS OF THE TROUGH...WINDS
WILL BE LIGHT AND WILL BE MAINLY CONTROLLED BY NIGHTTIME COOLING AND
DAYTIME HEATING. THE AIRMASS IS DRY AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL BE
LOW DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING TODAY AND SATURDAY.

.THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MIN HUMIDITY........12 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT UP SLOPE WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
CWR.................1 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........DECREASING CLOUDS (40-50 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 34.
MAX HUMIDITY........71 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING DOWN SLOPE 5 TO 10 MPH.
CWR.................1 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9500-10700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 2800-3900 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY MORNING...PARTLY CLOUDY AFTERNOON(40 TO 50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MIN HUMIDITY........12 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS BECOMING UP SLOPE 5 TO 10 MPH.
CWR.................1 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400-4600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9900-10200 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...AYCOCK
REQUESTED BY...JAKE DOLLARD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120518.STUAR.02/AFG