FNUS75 KTWC 181251
FWSTWC

SPOT FORECAST FOR ELWOOD...SAN CARLOS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
551 AM MST FRI MAY 18 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0524 MST ON MAY 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM MST
THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING ACROSS THE NORTHERN PART
OF THE STATE TODAY WILL RESULT IN STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS...WHICH
COMBINED WITH LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES AND A HIGH TO VERY HIGH
FIRE DANGER RATING HAVE PROMPTED THE ISSUANCE OF A RED FLAG
WARNING. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL REACH CRITICAL
THRESHOLDS BY AROUND MID MORNING WITH THE WINDS MEETING THE
CRITERIA FOR A RED FLAG WARNING DURING THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY
AFTERNOON HOURS. WIND SPEEDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE THROUGH THE
MORNING HOURS WITH SPEEDS RANGING FROM 10 TO 15 MPH BUT INCREASING
TO 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 40 MPH DURING THE LATE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON HOURS. ONCE THE TROUGH PASSES BY TO THE EAST LATE THIS
EVENING...THE WINDS WILL BE SIGNIFICANTLY LESS ON SATURDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81 TO 86 DEGS.
MIN HUMIDITY........6 TO 11 PCT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......VARIABLE AT 5 TO 10 MPH EARLY THIS MORNING THEN
                    BECOMING SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO
                    40 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
CHANCE OF RAIN......0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....43 TO 48 DEGS.
MAX HUMIDITY........36 TO 41 PCT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST TO SOUTHWEST WIND AT 20 TO 25 MPH IN THE EARLY
                    EVENING THEN DECREASING TO 15 TO 20 MPH DURING THE
                    LATE EVENING. WINDS BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY
                    5 TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
LAL.................1.
CHANCE OF RAIN......0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80 TO 85 DEGS.
MIN HUMIDITY........4 TO 9 PCT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 10 TO 15 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
CHANCE OF RAIN......0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.

$$
FORECASTER...FIRE WEATHER FORECASTER
REQUESTED BY...DENNIS LOGAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120518.ELWOO.01/TWC