FNUS74 KMOB 191341 FWSMOB SPOT FORECAST FOR JACKSON GUARD...EGLIN AFB NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 841 AM CDT SAT MAY 19 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0840 CDT ON MAY 19. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...DEEP MIXING HEIGHTS AND GOOD DISPERSIONS ARE IN THE FORECAST FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND AGAIN SUNDAY AFTERNOON. LOWEST HUMIDITY VALUES ARE FORECAST TO DROP TO AROUND 40 PERCENT MID AFTERNOON TODAY. HUMIDITY LOWER ON SUNDAY WITH VALUES IN THE 30 TO 35 PERCENT RANGES THEN. THIS WILL RESULT IN A CRITICAL DURATION OF LOW HUMIDITY. HOWEVER...OTHER PARAMETERS ARE CURRENTLY FORECAST TO FALL JUST SHORT OF RED FLAG CRITERIA. THEREFORE...NO FIRE WEATHER WATCHES ARE NEEDED AT THIS TIME FOR SUNDAY AFTERNOON...BUT CONDITIONS WILL NEED TO BE CLOSELY MONITORED. FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...VERY PATCHY LIGHT FOG IS POSSIBLE DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%)...........20 44 44 44 44 WEATHER COV....... WEATHER TYPE......NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP..............70 78 83 86 86 RH................76 58 46 40 39 20 FT WIND DIR....NE E E E E 20 FT WIND SPD....8 8 9 9 8 20 FT WIND GUST...14 14 MIX HGT (FT)......1400 3500 6100 7600 8000 MIX HGT (M).......430 1070 1860 2320 2440 TRANSP WIND DIR...E E E E E TRANSP WIND SPD...14 15 15 15 14 TRANS SPD (M/S)...6 7 7 7 6 DISPERSION........24 51 67 72 68 LVORI.............3 1 1 1 1 CWR...............0 0 10 10 10 .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%)...........44 39 39 39 39 39 WEATHER COV....... WEATHER TYPE......NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP..............81 71 64 61 59 57 RH................46 65 84 89 92 94 20 FT WIND DIR....E E E E E E 20 FT WIND SPD....6 5 5 5 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST... MIX HGT (FT)......4400 1900 400 300 300 300 MIX HGT (M).......1340 580 120 90 90 90 TRANSP WIND DIR...E E E E E E TRANSP WIND SPD...9 7 8 9 9 8 TRANS SPD (M/S)...4 3 4 4 4 4 DISPERSION........13 4 4 5 5 5 LVORI.............2 3 5 6 6 6 CWR...............10 10 10 10 10 10 .SUNDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%)...........39 16 16 16 21 21 WEATHER COV....... WEATHER TYPE......NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP..............55 64 76 84 88 88 RH................100 76 48 36 31 32 20 FT WIND DIR....NE NE NE E E E 20 FT WIND SPD....5 5 6 9 9 8 20 FT WIND GUST... 12 MIX HGT (FT)......300 1200 3000 5700 7400 8100 MIX HGT (M).......90 370 910 1740 2260 2470 TRANSP WIND DIR...NE NE NE NE NE NE TRANSP WIND SPD...8 9 10 14 13 12 TRANS SPD (M/S)...4 4 4 6 6 5 DISPERSION........4 14 38 59 60 55 LVORI.............9 4 1 1 1 1 CWR...............10 10 10 10 10 10 $$ FORECASTER...10 REQUESTED BY...DISPATCH TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120519.JACKS.01/MOB