FNUS73 KAPX 201846 FWSAPX SPOT FORECAST FOR RANGE 8 FIRE...MDNR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 246 PM EDT SUN MAY 20 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1425 EDT ON MAY 20. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...VERY WARM TEMPERATURES...LOW HUMIDITY AND GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE RIGHT ON THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH CLOSER TO THE AREA TONIGHT...BRINGING AN INCREASED CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. MUCH COOLER AND MUCH MORE HUMID AIR WILL OVERTAKE THE REGION FOR MONDAY. ANY WIND SHIFT ASSOCIATED WITH FRONTAL PASSAGE WILL OCCUR EARLY MONDAY MORNING. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........87 AT REQUEST...MAX 90. RH..................32 PERCENT AT REQUEST...MIN 28 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 10 MPH AT REQUEST...OTHERWISE SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 25 TO 26 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......9700 FT AGL AT REQUEST...OTHERWISE 9700 FT AGL. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT REQUEST...MAX 5. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (2500) AT REQUEST. MAX...EXCELLENT (2600). MIXING HEIGHT.......9700 FT AGL AT REQUEST...OTHERWISE 9700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 25 TO 26 MPH. TIME (EDT) 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........35 33 39 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............87 87 88 RH..............32 30 28 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..9 8 8 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 SMOKE DISP......250026002600 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 54. RH..................MAX 86 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 21 TO 29 MPH BECOMING WEST 10 TO 16 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING. MIXING HEIGHT.......7300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-700 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........MIN 3. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MIN POOR(0). MIXING HEIGHT.......7300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-700 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 21 TO 29 MPH BECOMING WEST 10 TO 16 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........40 41 41 41 40 46 58 69 75 78 84 91 WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............87 86 83 79 75 71 67 65 64 63 62 60 RH..............30 33 37 43 50 60 67 69 73 73 76 77 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW W W 20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 7 7 6 6 5 4 3 3 3 3 20 FT WIND GUST.20 15 15 15 15 10 10 10 5 5 5 5 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 3 3 SMOKE DISP......2600250021001300500 100 0 0 100 100 100 200 .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 66. RH..................MIN 45 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 20 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4200 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........MAX 3. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MAX EXCELLENT(800). MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4200 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 20 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........97 100 100 100 100 97 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............58 55 54 59 64 66 RH..............79 84 82 70 55 48 20 FT WIND......W 4 NW 5 NW 6 NW 7 NW 8 NW 9 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 15 15 20 20 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 SMOKE DISP......200 200 200 300 700 800 $$ FORECASTER...DAVID LAWRENCE REQUESTED BY...RANDY MCKENZIE TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120520.RANGE.01/APX