FNUS75 KGJT 192201
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR DRILL HOLE...U.S.F.S
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
401 PM MDT SAT MAY 19 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MDT ON MAY 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A GRADUAL WARMING TREND WILL BEGIN ON SUNDAY AS
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE REGION. AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES
WILL BE MORE IN THE NORMAL RANGE FOR THE SEASON. THEN THE FLOW
WILL BECOME SOUTHWEST ON MONDAY AND BEGINS TO INCREASE AS THE RIDGE
AXIS SHIFTS EAST OF THE AREA. THE SOUTHWEST FLOW AND WARMER
TEMPERATURES WILL ALSO RESULT IN LOWER RELATIVE HUMIDITY.

POSSIBLE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ON TUESDAY DUE TO
WARM...DRY AND WINDY CONDITIONS.


.SUNDAY (UNTIL SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10%). A FEW FLAT CUMULUS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........12-17%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE 3-6 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN BECOMING
                    WEST 3-8 MPH...WITH A FEW GUSTS TO 15 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
CLEARING INDEX......INCREASING TO 600 IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 12000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 MPH.

.SUNDAY NIGHT (AFTER SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........25-30%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE 3-6 MPH.
CLEARING INDEX......50.
HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL BY LATE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE 6 MPH.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%). SOME HIGH BASED CUMULUS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.

MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........8-13%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE 3-6 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST. INCREASING TO 8-12 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH POSSIBLE AFTER
                    1600.
CLEARING INDEX......50 INCREASING TO 1050.
HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 12700 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH-SOUTHWEST 15 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...ELLEN HEFFERNAN
REQUESTED BY...MARK ATWOOD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120520.DRILL.02/GJT