FNUS72 KMFL 201311
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR RANGER VIILLAGE RX...FLORIDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
911 AM EDT SUN MAY 20 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON MAY 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

A LIGHT NORTHEASTERLY FLOW WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE BURN AREA
THROUGH THE LATE MORNING HOURS. A WESTERLY WEST COAST SEA BREEZE
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP IN THE AFTERNOON...BUT MAY HAVE A LATE START
AROUND 200 PM. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE
ACROSS THE BURN AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING...WITH THE CHANCE OF
A FEW THUNDERSTORMS BECOMING STRONG WITH GUSTY WINDS TO NEAR 50 MPH...SMALL
HAIL AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING WITH THE STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 45 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING
                    BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING WEST AROUND 8
                    MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3800-5000 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 3 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
                    AROUND 12 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....19 INCREASING TO 44.
LVORI...............3.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM   8 PM
SKY (%).........52     56     56     56     56     56
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC
TEMP............81     87     89     90     84     77
RH..............65     52     47     45     55     71
20 FT WIND......NE 4   NE 5   NE 2   NE 2   W 6    N 3
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     10     10     15     10
MIX HGT (FT)....1500   3800   5000   5000   4200   2700
MIXNG WIND......NE 8   NE 9   NE 3   NE 3   W 12   N 6
DISPERSION IDX..19     29     44     44     44     28
LVORI...........4      2      1      1      2      4
CHC OF PCPN (%).40     40     40     40     40     20
LAL.............2      2      3      3      3      2

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 67.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 100 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 0200...THEN 1.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-2700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 2 TO 6 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....28 DECREASING TO 1.
LVORI...............7.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 91.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 44 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 8 MPH
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3800-5000 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 1 TO 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 6 TO
                    12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....16 INCREASING TO 42.
LVORI...............4.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...DIEHL
REQUESTED BY...JEFF CUMMINGS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120520.RANGE.01/MFL