FNUS71 KBGM 211414 FWSBGM SPOT FORECAST FOR CHOBANI...CHENANGO EM NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON, NY 1014 AM EDT MON MAY 21 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 0942 EDT ON MAY 21. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL BE MOVING THROUGH THE AREA TODAY. THIS WILL BRING INCREASING CLOUDS AND RAIN SHOWERS. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON. ANY SHOWERS SHOULD QUIET DOWN THIS EVENING. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). NUMEROUS SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74. WIND (20 FT)........ SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1500 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4100-5100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 14 TO 16 MPH. CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT. TIME (EDT) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).............36 48 90 93 95 WEATHER COV......... SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............ ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD TEMP................60 67 71 73 73 20 FT WIND..........S 3 S 4 SE 5 SE 5 SE 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)........1500 2400 2400 5100 4100 TRANSPORT WIND......SE 15 SE 16 SE 16 SE 15 SE 14 CHC OF PCPN (%).....0 0 40 50 50 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56. WIND (20 FT)........ SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 500-600 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 14 MPH. CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............95 96 97 99 100 100 WEATHER COV.........SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............ TEMP................71 65 61 59 57 57 20 FT WIND..........SE 5 SE 4 SE 3 SE 3 SE 2 SE 2 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)........4100 600 600 500 500 500 TRANSPORT WIND......SE 14 S 13 S 13 S 14 S 14 S 14 CHC OF PCPN (%).....40 40 40 40 40 40 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72. WIND (20 FT)........ SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING. MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4400-5500 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 12 MPH...BECOMING WEST AROUND 6 MPH LATE. CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............100 100 97 92 89 90 WEATHER COV.........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............ S CHC CHANCE CHANCE TEMP................56 61 66 69 71 72 20 FT WIND..........SE 2 SE 2 S 2 SW 2 W 2 W 2 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)........500 2000 2000 4400 5500 5500 TRANSPORT WIND......SW 12 SW 9 SW 9 SW 7 SW 6 SW 6 CHC OF PCPN (%).....30 30 40 40 50 60 $$ FORECASTER...IPPOLITI REQUESTED BY...EM TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20120521.CHOBA.02/BGM