FNUS72 KJAX 211251
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR GUANA RIVER WMA...FWC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
851 AM EDT MON MAY 21 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON MAY 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO WILL DEPART THE OFFSHORE WATERS OF
NORTHEAST FLORIDA TODAY...AND HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO OUR
REGION. DRY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL...WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY
VALUES DROPPING TO NEAR 50 PERCENT ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST
DURING THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS. NORTHWEST WINDS
NEAR 10 MPH EARLY THIS MORNING WILL BECOME NORTHERLY BEFORE
NOON..AND THEN NORTHEASTERLY BY 4 PM. A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY
WILL APPROACH THE AREA BY LATE TUESDAY...BRINGING A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALONG WITH SLIGHTLY HIGHER HUMIDITY
VALUES.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 13 MPH...BECOMING NORTH
                    BY NOON AND THEN NORTHEAST BY 4 PM.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-3200 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3000-3300 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 12 TO 20 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....19 INCREASING TO 43.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LVORI...............2.

TIME (EDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........22     26     29     32
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............74     78     79     79
RH..............67     50     57     57
20 FT WIND......NNW 12 N 13   NNE 12 NE 9
20 FT WIND GUST.15     16     16     15
MIX HGT (FT)....2200   2800   3200   3200
TRANSPORT WIND..N 15   N 14   N 14   N 13
LVORI...........1      1      1      1
DISPERSION INDX.41     44     45     42
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     10     10     10
LAL.............1      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900-2800 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 7 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....34 DECREASING TO 6 EARLY IN THE EVENING.
LVORI...............3.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........36     36     36     36     38     40
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............78     76     73     71     70     69
RH..............61     66     71     77     81     85
20 FT WIND......NE 8   NE 6   E 6    S 6    SW 6   SW 6
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....2800   2400   1900   1500   1200   1000
TRANSPORT WIND..NE 10  E 8    SE 7   SE 8   S 12   SW 10
LVORI...........1      3      3      4      4      5
DISPERSION INDX.36     5      4      5      6      6

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900-2300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2900-4000 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 10 TO 14 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....12 INCREASING TO 47.
LVORI...............3.

$$
FORECASTER...NELSON/SHASHY
REQUESTED BY...JUSTIN ELLENBERGER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120521.GUANA.01/JAX