FNUS76 KMFR 210717
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR CADE UNIT 2...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1217 AM PDT MON MAY 21 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 PDT ON MAY 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL REACH THE COAST MONDAY...THEN MOVE INLAND TO THE
SITE IN THE LATE AFTERNOON WITH STRONG AND GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS.
RAIN IS LIKELY EARLY IN THE EVENING THEN IT WILL QUICKLY TRANSITION
TO SHOWERS...WHICH WILL DIMINISH AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAINFALL OF AROUND
A TENTH OF AN INCH IS EXPECTED. A WEAKER DISTURBANCE WILL CROSS
SOUTHERN OREGON TUESDAY. IT WILL REMAIN COOL AND MOIST TUESDAY
THOUGH WITH ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS WILL PERSIST THROUGH WEDNESDAY.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
INVERSION...........A BASE AT AROUND 3500 FT MSL LIFTING THEN
                    ENDING AROUND 10 AM.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71 RIDGE TO 75 BOTTOM.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WIND 1 TO 3 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 2 TO 5
                    MPH WITH GUSTS TO 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2800 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND 4200 FT AGL LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........2.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY.
INVERSION...........WEAK AND FORMING LATE WITH A BASE AROUND 3000 FT MSL.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-51.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-95 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 3 TO 6 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 9 MPH IN THE
                    EVENING BECOMING SOUTHWEST 1 TO 3 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 2000 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 17 TO 27 MPH.
CWR.................32 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
INVERSION...........BASE AROUND 3000 FT MSL THEN DISSIPATING VERY
                    SOON AFTER SUNRISE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63 RIDGE TO 68 BOTTOM.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-45 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WIND 1 TO 3 MPH...BECOMING WEST 2 TO 5
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7500 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 12 TO 22 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........2.

$$
FORECASTER...WEYGAND
REQUESTED BY...KEVIN OSBORNE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120521.CADEU.01/MFR