FNUS73 KMQT 221007 FWSMQT SPOT FORECAST FOR PINE CREEK...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI 607 AM EDT TUE MAY 22 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2034 EDT ON MAY 21. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...LIGHT EASTERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS DURING THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON HOURS AS THE LAKE MICHIGAN LAKE BREEZE PUSHES TOWARD THE PINE CREEK FIRE. THIN HIGH CLOUDS WILL PUSH IN FROM THE WEST...MAKING FOR A PARTLY CLOUDY SKY BY LATE AFTERNOON. ANY SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE DAKOTAS SHOULD REMAIN WELL TO THE WEST. INCREASED SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE SURFACE OVERNIGHT TONIGHT...AND BE REALIZED ON THE ON THE FIRE DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY AS MIXING HEIGHTS RISE AGAIN TO AROUND 5 THOUSAND FEET. THERE IS UNCERTAINTY IN THE FORECAST OF HUMIDITY VALUES TOWARD DAYBREAK WEDNESDAY...AS THIS FORECAST MAY A LITTLE TOO LOW. THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TO OUR WEST WILL PUSH ACROSS MINNESOTA WEDNESDAY...WITH AN INCREASE IN CLOUD COVER...TEMPERATURES...AND SOUTHERLY WINDS. WIND GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...WITH HUMIDITY VALUES FALLING TO AROUND 30 PERCENT. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY...BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73. MIN HUMIDITY........27 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5 MPH OR LESS SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4...OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 12 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...FAIR (295). MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5300-6500 FT AGL BY LATE MORNING. TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........0 0 3 10 24 36 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............45 61 69 69 71 71 RH..............77 44 32 29 28 28 GENERAL WIND....NE 4 NE 5 SE 6 S 6 S 6 S 7 GENERAL GUST.... 8 10 10 VINDX KT-FT/100.20 217 289 294 260 267 MIX HGT (FT)....300 3600 5800 5900 6500 5300 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 3 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45. MAX HUMIDITY........77 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH DECREASING TO 5 MPH OR LESS BY LATE EVENING. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5...OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 15 TO 27 MPH BY MIDNIGHT. VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (0). MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-300 FT AGL BY LATE EVENING. TIME (EDT) 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM 6 AM SKY (%).........48 47 48 51 46 40 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............64 56 51 48 45 46 RH..............34 48 61 69 75 77 GENERAL WIND....S 6 S 4 S 3 S 4 S 4 S 5 GENERAL GUST....8 VINDX KT-FT/100.184 94 11 48 45 10 MIX HGT (FT)....2600 800 100 300 300 100 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...KF REQUESTED BY...STEVE NURSE TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120521.PINEC.02/MQT