FNUS75 KBOU 222205 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR BARRETT UPPER CHASE...GILPIN COUNTY SO NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO 405 PM MDT TUE MAY 22 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1544 MDT ON MAY 22. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A VERY WARM AND DRY AIRMASS WILL GIVE WAY TO COOLER CONDITIONS AND HIGHER HUMIDITIES ON WEDNESDAY AS A COLD FRONT PUSHES THROUGH THE AREA EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE FRONT WILL STALL OUT ALONG THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE. HIGHER LOCATIONS NEAR THE DIVIDE MAY SEE GUSTY WEST WINDS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...WHILE THE REST OF THE AREA WILL SEE LIGHT EASTERLY WINDS. THE INCREASED MOISTURE COMBINED WITH AN UNSTABLE AIRMASS AND AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL BRING A GOOD CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY A THUNDERSTORM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80. MIN HUMIDITY........8-14%. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8-16 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......10900-11900 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........WEST 15-25 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 30-35 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. CWR.................0 PERCENT. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30-35%). MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-44. MAX HUMIDITY........45-55%. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 9-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH UNTIL 0300...THEN DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......6300 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2100. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 20-30 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN NORTHEAST 10-15 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1900...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 2000...THEN GOOD UNTIL 2100...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. CWR.................0 PERCENT. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1200...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63. MIN HUMIDITY........28-33%. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5-10 MPH. RIDGETOP WINDS WILL BE WESTERLY 5-12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 5300-6300 FT AGL AFTER 0900. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 10-20 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0800...THEN FAIR UNTIL 0900...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1500...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1600...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. CWR.................5 PERCENT INCREASING TO 35 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR BARRETT UPPER CHASE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 05/22-00 4 0 49 40 S 3 13 3 1 W21 187 W 8 1386 P 05/22-01 4 0 47 41 S 2 15 3 1 W21 170 W 10 1455 P 05/22-02 4 0 46 42 SE 2 17 3 1 W22 153 W 12 1524 P 05/22-03 4 0 44 44 S 5 5 3 1 W24 134 SW 6 721 P 05/22-04 4 0 44 44 S 8 13 3 1 W30 130 SW 9 967 P 05/22-05 4 0 44 43 SW 10 17 3 1 W33 126 W 12 1214 P 05/22-06 33 0 42 42 W 13 13 3 1 W37 121 W 14 1460 P 05/22-07 33 0 47 39 W 13 13 3 1 W36 787 W 16 13994 P 05/22-08 33 0 54 33 W 13 13 4 1 W33 1453 W 18 26527 P 05/22-09 33 0 62 27 W 13 13 4 1 W31 2118 W 21 39061 P 05/22-10 33 0 66 22 W 15 24 4 1 W32 5151 W 24 121935 V 05/22-11 33 0 67 18 W 16 25 4 1 W33 8185 W 26 204810 E 05/22-12 37 0 70 15 W 18 28 3 1 W37 12128 W 29 298255 E 05/22-13 37 0 72 13 W 18 28 3 1 W37 10625 W 30 269372 E 05/22-14 37 0 67 16 W 18 28 2 1 W38 9122 W 31 240489 E 05/22-15 37 0 65 17 W 18 28 2 1 W39 7619 W 32 211606 E 05/22-16 37 0 65 17 SW 18 29 2 1 W43 7182 W 33 205050 E 05/22-17 37 0 65 16 SW 20 29 2 1 W46 6746 W 35 198495 E 05/22-18 31 2 62 18 SW 18 28 2 1 W49 6309 W 35 191939 E 05/22-19 31 2 61 18 SW 16 24 2 1 W51 4277 W 28 128817 V 05/22-20 31 2 55 21 SW 13 20 2 1 W52 2245 SW 21 65696 G 05/22-21 31 2 48 27 SW 10 16 2 1 W52 213 SW 14 2575 P 05/22-22 31 2 46 31 SW 10 15 2 1 W54 208 SW 14 2405 P 05/22-23 31 2 44 36 SW 10 16 2 1 W56 202 SW 13 2236 P 05/23-00 31 0 44 39 SW 10 16 2 1 W58 196 W 13 2066 P 05/23-01 31 0 44 40 S 8 8 2 1 W58 195 W 8 1442 P 05/23-02 31 0 44 39 SE 6 6 2 1 W56 194 N 5 817 P 05/23-03 31 0 43 40 E 5 5 2 1 W55 193 CALM 193 P 05/23-04 31 0 42 42 E 5 5 2 1 W55 188 E 3 539 P 05/23-05 31 0 41 44 SE 7 7 2 1 W54 183 SE 6 886 P 05/23-06 62 17 41 46 SE 8 8 2 1 W54 177 SE 8 1233 P 05/23-07 62 17 44 45 SE 9 14 2 1 W56 1580 S 12 22985 P 05/23-08 62 17 49 43 SE 10 16 2 1 W59 2983 SW 14 44738 F 05/23-09 62 17 54 38 S 12 17 2 1 W60 4385 SW 17 66492 G 05/23-10 62 17 57 35 S 13 18 2 1 W59 4829 SW 18 75604 G 05/23-11 62 17 58 34 SE 14 21 3 1 W56 5272 SW 18 84717 G 05/23-12 77 57 59 31 SE 14 21 3 4 SW53 5716 SW 18 93831 G 05/23-13 77 57 61 32 SE 14 20 3 4 SW51 5544 SW 16 77020 G 05/23-14 77 57 57 40 E 13 18 3 4 SW47 5372 SW 13 60210 G 05/23-15 77 57 55 44 E 12 17 3 4 SW46 5200 SW 9 43400 F 05/23-16 77 57 56 40 NE 12 17 3 4 SW48 6003 SW 14 79049 G 05/23-17 77 57 55 36 NW 12 17 2 4 SW52 6806 W 18 114698 V 05/23-18 82 43 58 30 W 12 18 2 4 SW54 7609 W 23 150347 E 05/23-19 82 43 56 34 W 10 17 2 4 SW51 6867 W 23 137197 V 05/23-20 82 43 52 40 W 9 15 2 4 SW48 6125 W 23 124046 V 05/23-21 82 43 49 47 W 9 15 2 4 SW48 5383 W 24 110896 V 05/23-22 82 43 47 52 W 9 15 2 4 SW52 4864 W 23 98766 G 05/23-23 82 43 45 57 W 10 16 2 4 W58 4346 W 23 86636 G 05/24-00 76 27 43 61 W 10 16 2 1 W62 3828 W 22 74506 G 05/24-01 76 27 42 64 W 10 17 2 1 W61 3652 W 25 78628 G 05/24-02 76 27 40 66 W 10 17 2 1 W59 3476 W 28 82750 G 05/24-03 76 27 39 69 W 10 16 2 1 W58 3301 W 30 86872 G 05/24-04 76 27 38 70 W 9 15 2 1 W63 3838 W 32 109491 V 05/24-05 76 27 38 69 W 8 14 2 1 W71 4375 W 35 132110 V 05/24-06 65 10 38 69 W 8 13 2 1 W79 4911 W 37 154730 E 05/24-07 65 10 40 62 W 8 14 2 1 W84 5394 W 37 173614 E 05/24-08 65 10 43 55 W 9 15 2 1 W89 5876 W 38 192498 E 05/24-09 65 10 46 47 W 10 16 2 1 W90 6358 W 38 211382 E 05/24-10 65 10 50 40 W 13 20 2 1 W90 6890 W 36 212051 E 05/24-11 65 10 52 36 W 14 22 2 1 W89 7423 W 33 212720 E KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...MEIER REQUESTED BY...DISPATCH TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120522.BARRE.01/BOU