FNUS73 KFGF 221328 FWSFGF SPOT FORECAST FOR WILLOW RUN...MN DNR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND 828 AM CDT TUE MAY 22 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1400 CDT ON MAY 22. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A WARM FRONT IS EXPECTED TO PUSH INTO NW MINNESOTA TODAY AHEAD OF A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM THAT WILL CROSS THE AREA LATER TONIGHT. THE LOCATION OF THE WARM FRONT WILL MAKE THE FORECAST TRICKY WITH THE WINDS...TEMPS...AND MINIMUM HUMIDITIES. EXPECT WINDS TO BECOME SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO NEAR 25 MPH. HOWEVER...WINDS MAY STAY MORE EASTERLY IF WARM FRONT DOES NOT LIFT AS FAR NORTH AS ANTICIPATED. WILL KEEP TABS AND UPDATE FORECAST AS NEEDED. ALSO...MINIMUM HUMIDITIES WILL DEPEND ON CLOUDS AND TEMPS...WITH MINIMUMS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR 40 PERCENT. THE WARM FRONT MAY TRIGGER SOME ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE...SMOKE DISPERSION IS EXPECTED TO BE FAIR TO GOOD. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE DAY. ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82. MIN HUMIDITY........42-47 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500-4800 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 20 TO 26 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 13 TO 18 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO AROUND 25 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........61 53 47 45 50 58 WEATHER COV.....ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW TSTM COV........ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO TEMP............71 74 77 78 79 79 RH..............53 50 47 47 48 49 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..9 10 11 11 12 12 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 20 20 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....58-63. MAX HUMIDITY........86-91 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......3200-4400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 800-2000 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 23 TO 31 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 18 TO 22 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING...THEN INCREASING TO 29 TO 36 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT INCREASING TO 38 TO 44 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING DECREASING TO AROUND 32 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........65 70 76 86 90 91 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV........SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS TEMP............77 73 70 69 67 63 RH..............53 61 67 69 78 88 20 FT WIND......SE 12 SE 12 SE 12 S 13 S 13 S 12 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 20 20 20 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76. MIN HUMIDITY........43-48 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......900-2800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6300-7400 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........WEST 18 TO 26 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........90 80 60 63 WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV........S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC TEMP............60 63 69 73 RH..............90 78 64 51 20 FT WIND......S 11G15 SW 13G20 W 13G20 SW 12G20 $$ FORECASTER...HOPKINS REQUESTED BY...JASON EKSTEIN TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120522.WILLO.01/FGF