FNUS76 KMFR 221258
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR CADE UNIT 2...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
558 AM PDT TUE MAY 22 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 PDT ON MAY 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
ANY INVERSION OVER THE AREA THIS MORNING SHOULD DISSIPATE QUICKLY
AS ANOTHER COLD FRONT MOVES IN. THE FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS, THEN MOVE EAST OF THE AREA
THIS EVENING. WINDS SHOULD NOT BE A PROBLEM DUE TO THE FULL
SHELTERING OF THE BURN AREA, BUT MIXING WINDS WILL BE GUSTY FROM
THE WEST AND SOUTHWEST. THE INVERSION FORMING TONIGHT WILL BE WEAK
BUT MAY TAKE A LITTLE LONGER TO BREAK WEDNESDAY MORNING. EVEN SO,
IT SHOULD DO SO BY MID-LATE MORNING. COOL, MOSTLY DRY WEATHER IS
EXPECTED WEDNESDAY. A STRONGER SYSTEM WILL MOVE IN FROM THE NORTH
LATER THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY WITH MORE WIDESPREAD SHOWERS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS THIS
                    AFTERNOON.
INVERSION...........BASE OF 3000 FT MSL DISSIPATING QUICKLY THIS
                    MORNING.
TEMPERATURE.........51 AT IGNITION...MAX 63-65.
RH..................80 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 45-50 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....CALM THIS MORNING BECOMING WEST 0-2 MPH THIS
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST TO SOUTHWEST 15 TO 30 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........2.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS THIS
                    EVENING.
INVERSION...........WEAK AND FORMING AROUND 4000 FT MSL OVERNIGHT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 41-43.
RH..................MAX 95-100 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT WIND.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 20 TO 30 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST 10 TO 15
                    MPH.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........2.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDS AND SOME SUN.
INVERSION...........BASE OF 4000 FT MSL DISSIPATING BY MID-LATE
                    MORNING.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 63-65.
RH..................MIN 40-45 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....CALM IN THE MORNING BECOMING NORTHWEST 0-2 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3.

$$
FORECASTER...SPILDE
REQUESTED BY...KEVIN OSBORNE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120522.CADEU.02/MFR