FNUS73 KDTX 231659
FWSDTX

SPOT FORECAST FOR PORT CRESCENT 2...MI DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
1259 PM EDT WED MAY 23 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1400 EDT ON MAY 23.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE AREA TODAY...AND SLOWLY SOUTHEAST
TO THE EAST COAST BY LATE IN THE WEEK. DURING THIS TIME
FRAME...MINIMUM RH VALUES DURING THE AFTERNOON WILL FALL TO AROUND 40
PERCENT. AT THE SAME TIME...DRY CONDITIONS AND RELATIVELY CALM WINDS
WILL PERSIST ACROSS SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN. THE NEXT A CHANCE OF UNSETTLED
WEATHER WILL ARRIVE ON FRIDAY AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE
REGION.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WIND 5 TO 9 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST
                    AROUND 10 MPH BETWEEN 3 PM AND 4 PM.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT INCREASING TO 5000 FT BY LATE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENTILATION RATE....FAIR (MAX...200).

TIME (EDT)      2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM
SKY (%).........28  22  20  17  14  12
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............67  70  70  70  69  69
RH..............55  50  53  53  54  55
20 FT WIND DIR..E   E   NE  NE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..6   6   7   7   7   7
20 FT WIND GUST.10  10  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.8 4.6 4.3 2.9 2.6 2.3
HAINES INDEX....4   4   4   5   4   4
VRATE (KT-FT)...200 200 200 200 200 200

$$
FORECASTER...CONSIDINE
REQUESTED BY...LEE OSTERLAND
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120523.PORTC.02/DTX