FNUS76 KMFR 240230
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR CADE MTN UNIT 2...US FOREST SERVICE, HAPPY CAMP RD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
730 PM PDT WED MAY 23 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1845 PDT ON MAY 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A COOL AND MOIST AIR MASS WILL REMAIN OVER THE BURN
AREA THROUGH THE END OF THIS WEEK AND INTO THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND. A
CLOSED LOW PRESSURE WILL DROP INTO SOUTHERN OREGON THURSDAY
AFTERNOON. THE AIR MASS WILL BE UNSTABLE DUE TO COLD AIR ALOFT AND
THIS WILL RESULT IN GOOD MIXING BUT ALSO WITH SHOWERS INCREASING
IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY TOWARD THURSDAY EVENING.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....43.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-90 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE WIND 1 TO 2 MPH.
20 FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 3 TO 5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING THEN
                    DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL THROUGH THE NIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 5 MPH IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    FOLLOWING DOWNSLOPE FLOW 2 TO 3 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS BY EARLY AFTERNOON.
                    RAIN SHOWERS INCREASING FROM MID AFTERNOON THROUGH
                    THURSDAY NIGHT. SMALL HAILS ARE POSSIBLE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....53-55.
MIN HUMIDITY........58-60 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WIND 1 TO 3 MPH NORTHWEST 6 TO 11 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
20 FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 8 MPH IN THE MORNING...INCREASING TO
                    NORTHWEST 15 MPH
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL IN THE MORNING THEN INCREASING TO
                    5500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 8 MPH.
CWR.................50 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...BUNNAG
REQUESTED BY...SUSAN DANIELS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120523.CADEM.01/MFR