FNUS76 KMFR 241119
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR SOD 16
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
419 AM PDT THU MAY 24 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 PDT ON MAY 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A COOL AND MOIST AIR MASS WILL MOVE INTO THE BURN
AREA TODAY. A LOW PRESSURE ALOFT WILL ALSO BE TRACKING SOUTH
ACROSS SOUTHERN OREGON...PROVIDING PLENTY OF INSTABILITY FOR
WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS. RAIN IS EXPECTED TO START IN THE LATE
MORNING...BECOMING STEADY RAIN BY EARLY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUING
THROUGH THE EVENING. COOL PRECIPITATION WILL TURN TO SHOWERS
FRIDAY BUT WITH DECREASING COVERAGE. THE AIR MASS WILL CONTINUE TO
BE MOIST THROUGH SATURDAY. HOWEVER GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS ARE
POSSIBLE SATURDAY NIGHT FROM DEVELOPING OFFSHORE WINDS.


.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING...
                    STEADY RAIN BY NOON AND CONTINUING THROUGHOUT
                    THE DAY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54.
MIN HUMIDITY........80 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WIND 3 TO 5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL LATE MORNING...INCREASING TO 3500 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 10 MPH.
CWR.................90 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...BUNNAG
REQUESTED BY...BARRY HOGGE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120524.SOD16.01/MFR