FNUS73 KMQT 241921 FWSMQT SPOT FORECAST FOR WIDGEON CREEK...MI DNR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI 321 PM EDT THU MAY 24 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1505 EDT ON MAY 24. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... .DISCUSSION...SOUTH WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO GUST TO UP TO 45 MPH AT THE FIRE SITE THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. ALTHOUGH SOMEWHAT MOISTER AIR WILL MOVE INTO THE SITE LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING... EXPECT RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES TO DROP TO 30 LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. THERE IS A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AT THE FIRE SITE STARTING AROUND MIDNIGHT...BUT ANY RAINFALL WILL LIKELY REMAIN BELOW 0.10 INCH. A WEST WIND GUSTING TO 30 MPH ON FRIDAY WILL ADVECT DRIER AIR EAST INTO THE AREA AGAIN...WITH MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY DIPPING 25 TO 30 PERCENT. MOISTER AIR AND A BETTER CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL ARRIVE THIS WEEKEND. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85. MIN HUMIDITY........29 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 18 TO 23 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 40 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4...OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 31 TO 47 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...EXCELLENT (2289). MIXING HEIGHT.......6500-6700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 2200 FT AGL. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........17 23 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE TEMP............85 84 RH..............29 29 GENERAL WIND....S 18 S 18 GENERAL GUST....40 42 VINDX KT-FT/100.2289 1557 MIX HGT (FT)....6700 4600 HAINES INDEX....3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE EVENING. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS BY MIDNIGHT. A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55. MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 17 TO 22 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 16 TO 21 MPH LATE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........4...OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 32 TO 55 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 29 TO 51 MPH LATE. VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (0). MIXING HEIGHT.......0-800 FT AGL. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.07 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM 6 AM SKY (%).........27 38 57 83 82 72 WEATHER COV..... CHANCE CHANCE S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM RNSHWR TEMP............76 75 74 71 64 57 RH..............37 41 44 51 69 85 GENERAL WIND....S 17 S 17 S 18 S 18 S 18 SW 17 GENERAL GUST....35 35 25 25 25 25 VINDX KT-FT/100.85 114 379 321 186 15 MIX HGT (FT)....300 300 800 700 400 BLW100 HAINES INDEX....3 4 4 3 3 3 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72. MIN HUMIDITY........29 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......WEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH DECREASING TO 8 TO 13 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4...OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 21 TO 38 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (445) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (1450). MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3800-5700 FT AGL. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........43 40 36 33 37 42 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............55 62 68 70 70 66 RH..............82 59 40 34 30 32 GENERAL WIND....SW 16 SW 16 W 14 W 12 W 12 W 9 GENERAL GUST....25 25 25 25 25 15 VINDX KT-FT/100.73 890 1414 1358 1388 945 MIX HGT (FT)....300 3300 5400 5700 5600 3800 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...MRD REQUESTED BY...CELESTE CHINGWA TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120524.WIDGE.01/MQT