FNUS72 KTBW 241240 FWSTBW SPOT FORECAST FOR MYAKKA RIVER...FLORIDA STATE PARKS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 840 AM EDT THU MAY 24 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON MAY 24. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... THE CENTRAL FLORIDA PENINSULA RESIDES BETWEEN A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO AND A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE NEAR THE FLORIDA STRAITS. EAST TO NORTHEAST FLOW WILL CONTINUE BETWEEN THESE 2 FEATURES THIS MORNING INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON. THE WEST COAST SEABREEZE WILL BE APPROACHING THE BURN SITE LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND IS EXPECTED TO PASS THROUGH OR BE NEAR THE BURN SITE BETWEEN 1600 AND 2000 LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. AFTER 2000 THE MORE DOMINANT EAST COAST SEABREEZE IS EXPECTED TO REESTABLISH AN EASTERLY FLOW OVER THE BURN SITE. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL FALL INTO THE UPPER 30S FOR A BRIEF TIME DURING THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON BEFORE BETTER MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE CLOSE PROXIMITY OF THE SEABREEZE RAISES VALUES BACK INTO THE 40S. .REST OF TODAY... TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM ----------------------------------------------------------------- SKY.............PCLDY MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM CHC PRECIP (%)..0 0 0 10 30 TEMP............70 81 87 92 91 HUMIDITY........98 66 50 40 38 20 FT WIND......NE 5 E 7 E 9 E 10 ESE 10 20 FT WIND GUST. 10 12 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....500 1800 2200 3500 4500 TRANSPORT WIND..E 7 E 7 E 8 E 8 NE 5 DISPERSION......7 27 30 33 35 LAL.............1 1 1 2 3 .TONIGHT... TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM ----------------------------------------------------------------- SKY.............PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM NONE NONE NONE CHC PRECIP (%)..30 20 20 10 10 10 TEMP............88 83 81 78 75 72 HUMIDITY........42 59 64 71 80 89 20 FT WIND......SE 6 W 4 NE 4 E 4 E 4 E 3 20 FT WIND GUST.15 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....3600 1500 600 400 300 300 TRANSPORT WIND..NW 2 NW 6 NE 8 E 8 E 8 E 6 DISPERSION......29 13 4 3 3 3 LAL.............3 2 2 1 1 1 $$ FORECASTER...MROCZKA REQUESTED BY...DIANA DONAGHY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120524.MYAKK.01/TBW