FNUS73 KMQT 251019 FWSMQT SPOT FORECAST FOR PINE CREEK...SENEY NWR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI 619 AM EDT FRI MAY 25 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0431 EDT ON MAY 25. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...EXPECT SOUTHWEST WINDS TO SHIFT WEST AT 15 TO 25 MPH AROUND 0630 IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT. WINDS WILL THEN DIMINISH TO 10 TO 20 MPH BY 1000 AS DRIER AIR ALOFT BEGINS TO MIX TO THE SURFACE. THE DRIER AIR WILL LOWER HUMIDITIES TO NEAR 25 PERCENT OVER THE WILDFIRE. EXPECT INCREASING MOISTURE FOR THIS WEEKEND AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING WARM FRONT WITH SHOWERS LIKELY SATURDAY NIGHT. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 77. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 26 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 8 TO 13 MPH LATE. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4...OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 19 TO 38 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...EXCELLENT (1052) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (1845) BY LATE MORNING. LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......2300-3800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7400-8400 FT AGL. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........32 28 24 20 25 31 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............58 67 74 75 76 76 RH..............75 49 33 27 26 26 GENERAL WIND....W 12 W 12 W 12 W 12 W 12 NW 10 GENERAL GUST....25 25 25 25 25 20 VINDX KT-FT/100.675 1394 1661 1571 1819 1752 MIX HGT (FT)....2300 5400 7200 7500 8300 8300 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 47. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 78 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING CALM. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4...OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 11 TO 28 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 8 TO 13 MPH BY MIDNIGHT. VENTILATION INDEX...EXCELLENT (892) DECREASING TO POOR (0) BY LATE EVENING. LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......6900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-300 FT AGL. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM 6 AM SKY (%).........36 38 41 43 47 52 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............72 63 57 53 51 48 RH..............30 44 57 63 70 78 GENERAL WIND....NW 7 NW 7 W 3 W 3 W 3 N 3 GENERAL GUST....15 15 5 5 5 5 VINDX KT-FT/100.1370 397 0 25 23 2 MIX HGT (FT)....6900 2200 BLW100 300 300 BLW100 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 3 3 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS BY LATE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 74. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 37 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......VARIABLE WINDS 5 MPH OR LESS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH BY LATE MORNING. HAINES INDEX........3...OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8 TO 15 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (393) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (736) BY LATE MORNING. LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000-4400 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 4400-6100 FT AGL BY LATE MORNING DECREASING TO 3600 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........56 58 59 61 69 76 WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............50 61 70 72 73 72 RH..............74 51 38 37 38 40 GENERAL WIND....E 3 E 3 SE 5 SE 6 SE 6 SE 6 GENERAL GUST....5 5 10 10 10 VINDX KT-FT/100.18 236 529 736 516 444 MIX HGT (FT)....300 3000 5300 6100 5700 4400 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...VOSS REQUESTED BY...GARY LINDSAY TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120525.PINEC.01/MQT