FNUS73 KMQT 251014 FWSMQT SPOT FORECAST FOR WIDGEON CREEK...DNR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI 614 AM EDT FRI MAY 25 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0432 EDT ON MAY 25. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...EXPECT SOUTHWEST WINDS TO SHIFT WEST AT 15 TO 25 MPH AROUND 0700 IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT. WINDS WILL THEN DIMINISH TO 10 TO 20 MPH BY 1000 AS DRIER AIR ALOFT BEGINS TO MIX TO THE SURFACE. THE DRIER AIR WILL LOWER HUMIDITIES TO NEAR 25 PERCENT OVER WILDFIRE. EXPECT INCREASING MOISTURE FOR THIS WEEKEND AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING WARM FRONT WITH SHOWERS LIKELY LATE SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 75. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 27 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4...OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 23 TO 41 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...EXCELLENT (722) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (2030). LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6800-7600 FT AGL. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM SKY (%)...........32 29 26 24 21 18 15 18 21 24 27 30 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP..............57 61 65 69 72 73 73 74 74 74 74 73 RH................77 64 51 43 36 32 30 29 28 28 27 28 GENERAL WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W NW NW NW GENERAL WIND SPD..11 11 11 10 10 10 10 10 10 9 9 9 GENERAL WIND GST..23 22 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 15 15 15 VINDX KT-FT/100.250 722 1243160017121767176718891977201120301959 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 2.5 4.6 6.4 7.1 7.4 7.4 7.6 7.6 7.4 7.2 6.8 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 44. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 85 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......WEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 4 TO 9 MPH...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 5 MPH OR LESS AFTER MIDNIGHT BECOMING CALM. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4...OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 19 TO 38 MPH DECREASING TO 12 TO 21 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. VENTILATION INDEX...EXCELLENT (1683) DECREASING TO POOR (0). LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......4000-5800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-1900 FT AGL BY LATE EVENING. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM SKY (%)...........33 35 36 38 40 41 43 45 46 48 49 51 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP..............70 66 61 56 55 53 51 50 48 46 46 46 RH................31 36 45 57 60 63 68 70 75 83 85 85 GENERAL WIND DIR..W W W W W W SW SW SW NW NW NW GENERAL WIND SPD..6 6 6 5 5 5 4 4 4 3 3 3 GENERAL WIND GST..10 10 10 5 5 5 5 5 5 VINDX KT-FT/100.16831149525 65 0 0 45 40 35 30 11 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...5.8 4.0 1.9 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 70. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 39 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......VARIABLE WINDS 5 MPH OR LESS BECOMING EAST 5 MPH OR LESS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN INCREASING TO 5 TO 10 MPH LATE. HAINES INDEX........3...OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 13 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (516) INCREASING TO GOOD (585) IN THE AFTERNOON. LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2800-4700 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 5100-5700 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 1900-3700 FT AGL LATE. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM SKY (%)...........52 52 52 52 52 52 52 57 62 67 73 78 WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP..............47 52 58 63 67 68 69 69 70 69 69 68 RH................82 69 56 48 42 40 40 39 39 40 40 42 GENERAL WIND DIR..N N N E E E E E E E E E GENERAL WIND SPD..3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 6 6 6 GENERAL WIND GST..5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 10 10 10 VINDX KT-FT/100.23 81 163 251 378 516 585 514 398 256 222 155 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.9 1.8 2.8 3.8 4.7 5.3 5.7 5.7 5.1 3.7 1.9 HAINES INDEX....3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...VOSS REQUESTED BY...CELESTE CHINGWA TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120525.WIDGE.01/MQT